Unofficial Guide Trip Planner Information

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New graphs showing the number of families entering trips in the Unofficial Guide’s online Trip Planner, and the crowd level computed from those numbers.

These graphs plot the number of Unofficial Guide Trip Planner users saying they’ll be in WDW on specific dates in 2005, based on data entered in the Unofficial Guide’s online trip planner. We assume each user represents one family. When looking at the number of families graph, therefore, a value of 108 on February 26, 2005 means that one hundred and eight families said they’d be in Walt Disney World on that date. The Trip Planner currently contains data on more than 6,300 trips for 2005, representing more than 40,000 “vacation days” in Walt Disney World.

Using that trip information, we’ve tried to predict crowd levels until June 9, 2005, using the same scale of 1-10 as published in the 2005 book. To do this we correlated known wait times to known crowd levels from previous days in 2005, and applied the results to future days. For example, we know the peak wait times for headliner attractions in the Magic Kingdom on March 29, 2005 were these:

Big Thunder Mountain Railroad: 90 minutes
Splash Mountain: 105 minutes
Space Mountain: 120 minutes

This translates to a “9″ on the Unofficial Guide’s crowd level scale. Next, we know from the trip planner that 240 families had entered trip information for March 29, 2005. Using that information, we assigned crowd levels to every day between now and June 9. Here’s the same data in chart form:

Date
Trips
Crowd Level
4/17/05
215
8
4/18/05
220
8
4/19/05
223
9
4/20/05
220
8
4/21/05
230
9
4/22/05
233
9
4/23/05
223
9
4/24/05
216
8
4/25/05
216
8
4/26/05
215
8
4/27/05
209
8
4/28/05
209
8
4/29/05
191
7
4/30/05
168
6
5/1/05
205
8
5/2/05
196
7
5/3/05
191
7
5/4/05
194
7
5/5/05
185
7
5/6/05
196
7
5/7/05
206
8
5/8/05
209
8
5/9/05
212
8
5/10/05
202
8
5/11/05
219
8
5/12/05
216
8
5/13/05
212
8
5/14/05
191
7
5/15/05
187
7
5/16/05
175
7
5/17/05
171
6
5/18/05
175
7
5/19/05
188
7
5/20/05
193
7
5/21/05
212
8
5/22/05
214
8
5/23/05
205
8
5/24/05
202
8
5/25/05
198
8
5/26/05
204
8
5/27/05
185
7
5/28/05
154
6
5/29/05
150
6
5/30/05
147
5
5/31/05
146
5
6/1/05
168
6
6/2/05
158
6
6/3/05
155
6
6/4/05
181
7
6/5/05
182
7
6/6/05
185
7
6/7/05
189
7
6/8/05
193
7
6/9/05
198
8
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Posted on April 17, 2005

One Response to “Unofficial Guide Trip Planner Information”

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