Crowd Levels And Wait Times At All Disney Parks

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So far this year we’ve spent about three weeks looking just at crowd levels and wait times at all four parks. Actual crowd levels for 2007 are running +/- 15 minutes from our predictions, but approximately half of that comes from two days in January (the 24th and 25th) when Orlando was hit with wind, rain, and temperatures up to 15 degrees below normal. Below is a sample of our predictions and actual wait times from the parks:

Date
Predicted Peak Wait Time at MK Headliner Attractions
Actual Peak Wait Time
Difference from Predicted Peak
Notes
Sat Dec 30 ’06
95 minutes or more
80 minutes
15
Tue Jan 02 ’07
65-74 minutes
90 minutes
16
Both Splash Mountain and Big Thunder Mountain down, which may have increased wait at Space Mountain
Tue Jan 23 ’07
45-54 minutes
40 minutes
5
Wed Jan 24 ’07
35-44 minutes
10 minutes
25
Rain; Temperature 9 degrees below normal.
Thu Jan 25 ’07
55-64 minutes
10 minutes
35
Rain; Temperature 15 degrees below normal
Fri Jan 26 ’07
35-44 minutes
50
6
Sat Jan 27 ’07
45-54 minutes
70
16
Sun Jan 28 ’07
55-64 minutes
60
0
Tue Jan 30 ’07
35-44 minutes
70
26
Thu Feb 01 ’07
35-44 minutes
40
0
Fri Feb 02 ’07
35-44 minutes
40
0
Wed Feb 21 ’07
75-84 minutes
110
26
President’s Day crowds appear to have lasted longer this week than years past!
16
Average Error

Excluding the two days with bad weather, our average error would be 11 minutes. We’ve collected much more data than this, and we’ll have it posted as soon as we can get it all keyed.

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Posted on February 23, 2007
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