Generally, crowds last week came in lower than expected with no park reaching higher than a level ‘6’ on our scale. We were within 2 index points 86% of the time last week and within 1 index point 61% of the time.
Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party season arrived at the Magic Kingdom this week, which means savvy planners who don’t mind the shortened park hours can experience low wait times during the day.
We expect this coming week to be the last few days of the pre-Thanksgiving lull. Large crowds will begin on Saturday or Sunday. To see Walt Disney World Crowd Predictions for Thanksgiving week or any other week, check the Crowd Calendar.
The Walt Disney World Crowd Report – November 10 to 16, 2013
The final day of Wine & Dine Half Marathon weekend and the final weekend of Epcot’s Food & Wine Festival brought in typical weekend crowds for November. Resort wide wait times came in lower than expected at ‘5’ mostly caused by a surprising level ‘4’ at The Studios. We predicted a ‘7’.
Veteran’s Day crowds were lower than normal, we predicted a resort-wide ‘6’ which ended up two points too high. Again, Studios crowds were the biggest culprit with wait times only reaching a level ‘4’. Our estimates were too high at every park but only by 1 point at the Magic Kingdom.
Resort-wide our predictions hit ‘3’ as expected however we underpredicted Magic Kingdom by 2 points (‘5′ vs a ‘3’) and overpredicted Epcot by 2 (‘1′ vs a ‘3’). At Magic Kingdom, it was Jungle Cruise and Buzz Lightyear that came in busier than expected. The average posted times at these two attractions were about double what we predicted.
Wait times were low at all parks as predicted with no park reaching a level higher than ‘3’. Only the Animal Kingdom showed wait times higher than predicted but only by one index point, at a level ‘3’ up from the predicted ‘2’.
Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party returned to Magic Kingdom for the first time of the season on Thursday. As predicted, daytime crowds hit a level ‘3’ both at the Magic Kingdom and resort-wide. Animal Kingdom hit a level ‘5’ while The Studios remained low at a level ‘1’ – we predicted a level ‘3’ at both. Kilimanjaro Safaris was a big contributor to Animal Kingdom’s level ‘5’. It reached an average posted wait of 56 minutes which would represent a ‘9’ out of 10 on our scale.
Lowest wait times of the week resort-wide with no park exceeding a level ‘3’. We correctly predicted each park within ‘1’ index point. Another day of low waits at Magic Kingdom during the day thanks to Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party scheduled for Friday evening.
A very surprising resort-wide ‘2’ on Saturday, we predicted a ‘4’. The Studios reached a level ‘3’ as predicted but all other parks came in lower than expected. Significantly so at the Magic Kingdom where our prediction of ‘6’ proved three points too high. Other than Winnie the Pooh and Jungle Cruise where our predictions were within 1 index point, average wait times at the attractions ended up about half of what we predicted. Space Mountain for example, had an average posted wait time of 26 minutes. This is quite low, especially for a Saturday.
To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.