November 17 to 23, 2013, ended up being a great week for low crowds at Walt Disney World. Our Crowd Calendar predicted low crowds all week with the exception of Saturday. In fact, wait times came in even lower than our predictions, including on Saturday. Although our predictions hit the mark at the park level for some days, in general we overshot by one index level. If you used our calendar and selected last week for your trip to Disney World, you experienced some of the lowest wait times of the year.
The Walt Disney World Crowd Report – November 17 to 23, 2013
On Sunday we predicted Epcot to be a ’4′ and Animal Kingdom to be a ’1′ while the opposite ended up occurring. Soarin’ averaged 50 minutes and Test Track 41 rather than the 67 and 53 we predicted, respectively. Those numbers translate to a ’1′ at Epcot. At Animal Kingdom it was Kilimanjaro Safaris hitting an average of 26 minutes and Kali River Rapids at 28 minutes that pulled that park’s level to a ’3′, still below average.
Both Epcot and Animal Kingdom bottomed out at a level ’1′ on Monday and were joined by Hollywood Studios. Magic Kingdom was not much busier, only reaching a level ’3′ on our scale, one under the predicted ’4′.
We accurately predicted that no park would exceed level ’2′ on Tuesday. In fact, according to our scale, only Magic Kingdom wait times reached a ’2′. That makes November 19 one of the slowest days of the year. For example, the average posted wait time between 10am and 5pm at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster was 28 minutes.
Once again, low wait times abound on Wednesday with a level ’1′ resort-wide. We had predicted a ’3′ at the Studios as the highest park level, but even that park did not reach wait times higher than a park-wide ’1′. Even at a ’1′, the average posted wait time at Toy Story Mania was 60 minutes.
Predictably, Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party brought low wait times through the day at the Magic Kingdom, but low waits were not exclusive to that park. In fact, all parks stayed at a level ’1′, bettering the low we saw on Tuesday. For your reference, Space Mountain had posted wait times averaging only 11 minutes during the middle part of the day!
Another Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party on Friday kept wait times low during the day. We correctly predicted a level ’2′ during the day at the Magic Kingdom but slightly over-predicted each of the other parks by 1 index level.
We predicted that the wait times would pick up significantly on Saturday with a resort-wide ’5′ on the calendar for Saturday. In fact, we saw the resort-wide come in two points lower at a ’3′, thanks to surprisingly low wait times at Epcot and the Studios. We over-predicted, by a significant margin, the average wait times at Soarin’ (54 vs. 83 minutes) and Test Track (54 vs. 94 minutes), as well as at Rock ‘n Roller Coaster (51 vs. 84 minutes), but our predictions at the other two parks were very accurate for most attractions.
What to Expect This Week
This coming week brings Thanksgiving crowds to Walt Disney World. Thanksgiving is the third busiest week of the year, behind Easter and Christmas. Wait times are closer to those of the busy Easter week than they are to the insanity that is Christmas week crowds. The influx for Thanksgiving week has already begun and is expected to continue until Sunday or Monday. To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for every day between 2006 and one year from today, check the Crowd Calendar.
Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party season continues at the Magic Kingdom this week, which means savvy planners who don’t mind the shortened park hours can experience low wait times during the day.
To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.