Crowd Blog

Universal Crowd Calendar Report – July 24 to 30, 2016

by on August 8, 2016

Universal Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Universal Orlando Resort Last Week?

Last week, Islands of Adventure continued to lag behind its sister park which pulled down the resort wide crowd level a few points lower than history would suggest for the last week of July. The Universal Crowd Calendar did a great job predicting the crowd level at Universal Studios missing by more than one level only once.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Universal Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – July 24 to 30, 2016

by on August 8, 2016

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

Other than slightly lower crowds than expected at Disney California Adventure on Sunday and Monday, crowds at Disneyland Resort were within one index level of what the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted each day last week. Monday and Tuesday were the busiest days of the week with crowds slightly lower as the week went on.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – July 24 to 30, 2016

by on August 7, 2016

Disney World Crowd Calendar

How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Last Week?

Sunday through Tuesday last week, crowds we observed were within one index level of what the Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted while later in the week crowds drifted a little further away from what we expected. Crowds were at least a point busier last year during the equivalent week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Summer Crowd and Wait Time Trends at Disney World

by on July 29, 2016

It’s been a challenging summer for Walt Disney World. If you go by America’s economic indicators, attendance should be strong: gas is cheap and getting cheaper, unemployment is below 5%, and stock markets are flirting with record highs.

But Disney is also facing some formidable challenges in getting people into its parks.  From the self-inflicted, sharp increase in admission earlier this year – the largest increase in at least 20 years – and a move to “seasonal” one-day ticket pricing that falls squarely on parents with school-age children, to June’s murder of Christina Grimmie, the Pulse Nightclub massacre, and fatal alligator attack at the Grand Floridian.

Based on our analysis of posted and actual wait times for rides at Walt Disney World, we think attendance is lower to this point in summer for Epcot, Disney’s Hollywood Studios, and the Animal Kingdom, and higher at the Magic Kingdom, versus the same period in 2015. Overall, we think attendance is flat to slightly lower throughout Walt Disney World.

Here’s a breakdown by park. The date ranges are June 1 through July 24 for all graphs. We focus on standby waits, posted waits, and people in line between 10 a.m. and 5 p.m., since this is the peak time for crowds.

Disney’s Animal Kingdom Wait Times

Animal Kingdom Wait Times Summer 2015 and 2016

Every major attraction at the Animal Kingdom has seen its wait time drop in 2016. The average posted wait is down 2 minutes since summer 2015. In terms of people in line, it’s roughly a 7% decline, from 693 people in line per attraction in 2015, down to 646 people in 2016.

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

New Average Wait Times at Soarin’ & Toy Story Midway Mania

by on July 28, 2016

Two of Walt Disney World’s most popular attractions recently went through significant changes to their capacity. Toy Story Midway Mania added a third track on May 25, 2016 and Soarin’ re-opened on June 17, 2016 after a long refurbishment to add a third hanger and present a new film. An increase in capacity should lower the average standby wait at these super headliners, now that we have at least a month of collected wait times for both, let’s take a look to see if the average wait times have changed.

Average Daily Wait Time at Walt Disney World

Average Daily Wait Time at Walt Disney World

First, let’s get a baseline for how wait times are doing in general compared to historical averages across all Walt Disney World Attractions. Here is the average daily wait time across all attractions since 2009. Since May 25th, 2016 the average daily wait time remains almost unchanged, down about 1%. Sure, the sample size is not large but we can be fairly certain that any change in the average daily wait time at Toy Story Midway Mania and Soarin’ would be due to the capacity changes, not to a significant drop in overall attendance. It is also helpful that we are comparing a time of year that is historically very similar year over year. Late Spring and early Summer have only two holidays, Memorial Day and July 4th, both of which have similar crowd patterns each year.

Average Wait Time At Toy Story Midway Mania

Average Daily Wait Time At Toy Story Midway Mania

Except for an initial spike in wait times shortly after re-opening, Toy Story Midway Mania wait times are way down compared to years past. There we see a 38% percent reduction in the average daily wait time since May 25th, 2016 when the third track began entertaining guests. Toy Story Midway Mania is still the most popular attraction at Disney Hollywood Studios but the extra track helps relieve pressure on the standby queue for those guests unable to obtain a Fastpass+ reservation. Historically, it would not be unusual to see Toy Story Midway Mania hit a peak wait time of 100 minutes or more, even on an average day. Now, that peak is more likely to be 70 to 80 minutes or less.

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Update

by on July 26, 2016

ToTouringPlans logonight we will be pushing an update to the Walt Disney World for dates starting August 1, 2016. The changes in the crowd level reflect changes in our wait time attraction predictions. The new predictions reflect changes due to park hours, school schedules, and recent trends of observed wait times. One of the more interesting impact of the school schedules will occur during Christmas break: This year Christmas Eve and New Year’s Eve fall on Saturdays. While some school districts are off the last two weeks of December, others are taking the last week of December and the first week of January. This will extend the holiday crowds over three weeks instead of the usual two weeks.

Holiday Crowd Levels

2016 Crowds

We are still learning the impact of the increased capacity at Soarin and Toy Story Midway Mania, Frozen moving into Norway, and nighttime hours at the Animal Kingdom. One thing we are seeing is a general increase in crowd levels at Hollywood Studios. With many of the minor attractions being closed, the remaining attractions are seeing an increase in wait times which brings up our crowd levels. With the back half of Hollywood Studios being closed, the park also feels more crowded according to our users.

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Universal Crowd Calendar Report – July 17 to 23, 2016

by on July 25, 2016

Universal Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Universal Orlando Last Week?

Last week, Universal Orlando crowds came in a few points lower than expected, mostly due to weak attendance at Islands of Adventure. Wait times were higher at Universal Studios most days.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – July 17 to 23, 2016

by on July 25, 2016

Disney World Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World held steady last week with levels hitting the mark most days. Weekend crowds ended up a little lower than expected thanks mostly to Epcot, Disney Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom. Magic Kingdom continues to be the busiest park this summer.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – July 17 to 23, 2016

by on July 25, 2016

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disneyland Last Week?

Crowds at Disneyland last week closely followed what the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted. Crowds on the weekend were less busy that what we saw during the week, as predicted. Only one prediction during the week missed by more than one index level.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print

Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – June 12 to 18, 2016

by on July 4, 2016

Disney World Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World were very close to what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted between June 12 and 18. The calendar correctly predicted that midweek crowds would be larger than those on the weekend. Magic Kingdom crowds led the way with every day at a crowd level ‘8’ or higher except for Saturday (6). Animal Kingdom was the least crowded park of the week after dipping to a level ‘3’ on Friday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day on the Touringplans.com Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Read the rest of this entry »

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google Plus
  • Pinterest
  • Print