Crowd Blog

Day-Of FastPass+ Availability at Walt Disney World

by on September 16, 2014

Getting a “Fourth” FastPass+ (and Beyond)

One of the first changes to the FastPass+ program was the ability to make more  FastPass+ selections after using your first set of advance reservations. Besides being able to get more FastPasses, this lets you get FastPass+ options that may not have been available to you previously. (For example, the advance FastPass “tiering” rules at Epcot and the Studios aren’t in effect for your 4th FastPass+ selection and beyond, nor is the once-per-attraction restriction.)

This means you have to choose a strategy. The two most common options are:

  1. Book your advance FastPass+ reservations early in the day and have more time for “extra” FastPass+ selections,
  2. Schedule your advance FastPass+ reservations during the busiest time of the day and use the standby lines early in the day, when the wait times are lower

To make this choice, it helps to know each attraction’s day-of FastPass+ availability.

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Disneyland Resort Crowd Report – August 31 to September 6, 2014

by on September 9, 2014

Other than Labor Day Monday when both parks hit a level ’6′ on our scale, last week was a great week for Disneyland Resort guests to experience low wait times. Disney California Adventure, in particular saw average posted times among the lowest you will see all year.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report – August 31 to September 6, 2014

by on September 8, 2014

Wait times at Universal Orlando skewed lower than expected last week although not significantly so. We correctly predicted the crowd level within one index level every day with only one exception. The week after Labor Day, like at Disney World, is the single slowest week of the year at Universal Orlando. If you can handle the hot summer temperatures you will experience near empty touring conditions.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Report – August 31 to September 6, 2014

by on September 8, 2014

There are two weeks a year where we can be certain about crowds at Disney World. We know December 28 through January 1 will be extremely crowded and we know that the week after Labor Day will be extremely light. Even we were surprised how low the crowds were last week. We expected that Fastpass+ would help moderate wait times across the resort but we still saw some of the lowest average wait times of the year.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

 

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Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report – August 24 to 30, 2014

by on September 5, 2014

Welcome to the Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report! Here we take a look at how our crowd predictions performed the previous week and take a brief look at the week to come.

Last week, no park reached wait times higher than a level ’5′ on our scale and most days stayed around a ’3′ or ’4′. Predictions tended to be high rather than low which is consistent with what we observed at Disney World last week. An early return to school for some school districts is pulling the annual September lull in attendance a week earlier than usual.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

 

Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 24, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
4
4

Our predictions for attractions at Islands of Adventure were high by an average of 3 to 10 minutes. However, we correctly predicted most attractions at Universal Studios.

Islands of Adventure
4
2

Monday, August 25, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
4
5

Another slow day at Islands of Adventure on Monday. Only Ripsaw Falls (35 minutes) and Spider-Man saw wait times above a level 2 on our scale.

Islands of Adventure
4
2

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
5
4

Crowds remained low on Tuesday including a 23 minute average posted wait at Forbidden Journey and a 25 minute average at Hollywood Rip Ride Rocket.

Islands of Adventure
5
3

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
4
3

Low waits at Islands of Adventure again on Wednesday. No attraction reached an average posted time above 40 minutes (Ripsaw Falls).

Islands of Adventure
5
2

Thursday, August 28, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
4
3

Despicable Me: Minion Mayhem averaged 44 minutes (predicted  54) on Thursday but otherwise wait times were low.

Islands of Adventure
4
2

Friday, August 29, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
4
3

Hulk, Jurassic Park River Adventure and Dragon Challenge were among the Islands of Adventure attractions that had an single-digit average posted wait on Friday.

Islands of Adventure
4
2

Saturday, August 30, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
5
5

We under-predicted Hollywood Rip Ride Rocket (49 minutes, predicted 37) but every other prediction was within 5 minutes of what we observed on Saturday.

Islands of Adventure
4
3
What to Expect This Week
August 31 to September 6, 2014
How Crowded is Universal Orlando Resort?

How Crowded is Universal Orlando Resort?

The first week of September is typically a great week to visit the Universal Orlando Resort. Crowds are lighter with most schools in session and summer vacations concluded for most families.

To see Universal Orlando Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disneyland Resort Crowd Report – August 24 to 30, 2014

by on September 5, 2014

Welcome to the Disneyland Resort Crowd Report! Here we take a look at how our crowd predictions performed the previous week and take a brief look at the week to come.

Last week, no park reached wait times higher than a level ’5′ on our scale and most days stayed around a ’2′ or ’3′. That means posted wait times averaged 10 to 30 minutes at most attractions. We are still seeing some attention at the newly refurbished Alice in Wonderland. If that is an important part of your trip to Disneyland you may want to move that attraction earlier in your touring plan.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

 

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 24, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
3

Disney California Adventure saw wait times lower than usual on Sunday, including an average posted time of 20 minutes at Soarin’ Over California (predicted 22). Although, Radiator Springs Racers wait times were high as usual (62 minute average, predicted 67).

Disney California Adventure
5
2

Monday, August 25, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
3

Predictions hit the mark at both parks on Monday. Average posted time at Space Mountain was 26 minutes, we predicted 25.

Disney California Adventure
2
2

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
3

Another level ’3′ for Disneyland on Tuesday with no attraction reaching an average posted time above 34 minutes (Peter Pan’s Flight) while many attractions hit the lowest level on our scale at DCA including California Screamin’ (5 minutes) and Radiator Springs Racers (47 minutes).

Disney California Adventure
3
2

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
2

Our predictions were one level too high at both parks on Wednesday. Standout attractions were Alice in Wonderland (26 minutes, predicted 23) and Grizzly River Run (25 minutes, predicted 29).

Disney California Adventure
3
2

Thursday, August 28, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
2

Level ’2′ across the board on Thursday with no attraction averaging a posted time higher than 35 minutes other than Radiator Springs at 49 minutes.

Disney California Adventure
2
2

Friday, August 29, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
4

Wait times jumped slightly higher on Friday driven by increases at Big Thunder Mountain (23 minutes, predicted 13) and Soarin’ Over California (30 minutes, predicted 23).

Disney California Adventure
2
3

Saturday, August 30, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
5

Weekend crowds pushed many attractions one level higher on our scale on Saturday. Alice in Wonderland continues to draw attention after its July refurbishment. We saw an average posted time of 33 minutes there which represents a ’10′ on our scale for Alice.

Disney California Adventure
3
4
What to Expect This Week
August 31 to September 6, 2014
How Crowded is Disneyland Resort?

How Crowded is Disneyland Resort?

The first week of September is typically a great week to visit the Disneyland Resort. Crowds are lighter with most schools in session and summer vacations concluded for most families.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – August 24 to August 30, 2014

by on September 4, 2014

By far, the least crowded season of the year is the period between Labor Day and mid-September. Schools are back in session and most families have completed their summer vacations. Judging by last week’s crowd numbers that September lull may have begun a week early. We saw very low wait times across the resort.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

 

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 24, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
2

Crowd levels were all below average as expected on Sunday. Magic Kingdom was the lowest with the other parks not far behind. Haunted Mansion (20 minutes), Jungle Cruise (18) and Winnie the Pooh (22) hit their lowest point on our 1 to 10 scale.

Epcot
2
3
Hollywood Studios
4
4
Animal Kingdom
4
3

Monday, August 25, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

Our predictions of ‘4’ at Magic Kingdom and Epcot and of ‘2’ at Animal Kingdom hit the mark. Only The Studios fell outside normal range with a 22 minute average posted time at Great Movie Ride as well as 72 minutes at Toy Story Mania. Star Tours also hit a healthy 24 minute average.

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
4
6
Animal Kingdom
2
2

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
3

Tuesday’s crowd at Epcot was the first sign that the Septmeber lull in attendance may have been occurring early this year. Test Track averaged 52 minutes, well below expected although Spaceship Earth hit 16 minutes, exactly as we predicted.

Epcot
6
2
Hollywood Studios
3
4
Animal Kingdom
3
1

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
1

More signs of lower than expected crowds on Wednesday. All parks came in two or more levels lower than history would suggest. Many attractions hit a level ‘1’ on our scale, especially at Magic Kingdom, an occurrence that is normally reserved for the week after Labor Day.

Epcot
4
2
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
6
2

Thursday, August 28, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
2

Our predictions of ‘3’ or lower at Magic Kingdom, The Studios and Animal Kingdom were within range but Epcot’s crowd was unbelievably low. Test Track averaged 43 minutes, Spaceship Earth 10, Soarin’ 34 and Living with the Land 2, all the lowest on our scale.

Epcot
6
1
Hollywood Studios
3
1
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Friday, August 29, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
1

Ones across the board (except for The Studios at ‘2’) are another sign of the Labor Day lull in attendance arriving early this year. No headliner attraction resort-wide went above a level ‘3’ on our scale – and the most common level by far was ‘1’.

Epcot
5
1
Hollywood Studios
4
2
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Saturday, August 30, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
4

Predictions returned to normal performance on Saturday with only one park (Magic Kingdom) missing the mark, slightly. We predicted Soarin’ would average a posted time of 49 minutes and we observed exactly that.

Epcot
2
2
Hollywood Studios
4
4
Animal Kingdom
3
3
What to Expect This Week
August 31 to September 6, 2014
How Crowded is Walt Disney World

How Crowded is Walt Disney World

If last week was slow then imagine how quiet this week must be. By far, the number one best time of the year for low crowds is the week after Labor Day. The summer heat is still blazing however so be prepared to take breaks – not from the crowds but from the heat.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Crowd Calendar 4 Launched for Universal Orlando and Disneyland Resort

by on August 23, 2014

New Crowd Calendar methodology arrives at Universal Orlando Resort

New Crowd Calendar methodology arrives at Universal Orlando Resort

 

The methodology used for the TouringPlans.com Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar since November 2013 takes over the Universal Orlando and Disneyland Resort crowd calendars starting today. Crowd Calendar 4 has worked well for Disney World so we are confident it will perform equally well for Universal and Disneyland. See below for a synopsis of how the calendar has performed since November 2013. When we predict the crowd level (between ’1′ and ’10′) we see that about 95% of the time the actual crowd will be within two index points, and about three-quarters (3/4) of the time within one.

 

Disney World Crowd Calendar Error Results since November 2013

Disney World Crowd Calendar Error Results since November 2013

 

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Disney World Crowd Report – August 10 to 16, 2014

by on August 18, 2014

Predictions did remarkably well at Magic Kingdom and Animal Kingdom last week with all days hitting the mark or missing by only one index level (except for Monday at Animal Kingdom where we missed by two). Predictions were solid most days for The Studios and Epcot as well although crowds did skew higher at those parks. Frozen themed activities may be impacting the crowds at those two parks. Wait times at Spaceship Earth were up all week which pushed Epcot’s crowds higher than expected a few days last week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on this week’s Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 10, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Sixes across the resort except for Epcot (4). No attraction at Magic Kingdom hit an average wait time higher than 54 minutes (Splash Mountain) and all of our predictions were within one index level.

Epcot
3
4
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Monday, August 11, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Epcot trailed the pack again on Monday with low wait times at Soarin’ (61 minutes, predicted 73) and Mission: Space Orange (19 minutes, predicted 25). We correctly predicted Buzz Lightyear at Magic Kingdom would average 48 minutes (a level ’10’ out of ’10’ for that attraction). Pirates of the Caribbean (45 minutes) and Space Mountain (73 minutes) hit a level ’10’ as well.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
7

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Epcot hit the highest point on our scale thanks to higher than expected waits at Mission: Space Orange (55 minutes, predicted 34), Spaceship Earth (26 minutes, predicted 15) and Soarin’ (89 minutes, predicted 81). Crowds were up at The Studios as well (Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster 73 minutes, Toy Story Midway Mania 83 minutes) but within normal ranges at the two Kingdoms.

Epcot
7
10
Hollywood Studios
6
9
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Spaceship Earth averaged 21 minutes on Wednesday (predicted 13) which pushed crowds higher at Epcot. Our predictions for Mission: Space (24 minutes, predicted 22), Soarin’ (64 minutes, predicted 68) and Test Track (70 minutes, predicted 72) were all accurate though.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Thursday, August 14, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Crowds settled down on Thursday with all parks within one of predicted levels. Magic Kingdom hosted Extra Magic Hour morning but only Space Mountain averaged a posted wait higher than 60 minutes, at 66 (predicted 53).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Friday, August 15, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Slightly higher crowds at Epcot and The Studios again on Friday although resort wide the crowd level was a ‘7’ as predicted. The average posted time at Spaceship Earth was 24 minutes, double our prediction of 12 minutes. That is as high an average at Spaceship Earth as we have seen all summer.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, August 16, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Resort wide crowds were a six again on Saturday despite higher crowds again at Epcot. Spaceship Earth went two minutes higher reaching an average of 26 minutes! All other predictions on Saturday were spot on.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
5
5
What to Expect This Week
August 17 to 23, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World

How Crowded is Disney World?

Summer crowds will begin to fade as we enter the fall season, the lowest crowds of the year. Wait times will still be high for popular attractions this week but with a proper touring plan crowds will be manageable.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – August 3 to August 10, 2014

by on August 13, 2014

Crowds continue to be consistent, above average and predictable this summer. Our predictions have performed very well with none missing by more than two index levels all week and most within one. Pirates of the Caribbean did see some suspiciously higher than expected wait times on some days which may indicate that the reduced capacity is having an impact although it is still too soon to tell.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 3, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Crowds were ‘5’s and ‘6’s across the resort on Sunday with wait times remaining within 10 minutes of average. Toy Story Mania averaged 79 minutes, exactly 10 minutes higher than our prediction.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, August 4, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Great results again on Monday with only the Studios missing by more than one index level, due to higher than expected wait times at Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster (71 minutes, predicted 56) and Toy Story Mania (85 minutes, predicted 69). Still, Tower of Terror came in lower than expected at 55 minutes (predicted 67).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
7
9
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, August 5, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Again on Tuesday all our predictions stayed within one index level of what we observed. Epcot hit a level ’10’ on our scale for the first time since July 4th including a 103-minute average posted time at Test Track.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Crowds were up on Wednesday. Jungle Cruise, Pirates of the Caribbean, Space Mountain, Spaceship Earth, Toy Story Mania, Great Movie Ride, Dinosaur, Kali River Rapids and Kilimanjaro Safaris all hit a level ’10’ on our scale.

Epcot
6
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Thursday, August 7, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Level ‘8’ all around except for Animal Kingdom. Predictions all did well. At Magic Kingdom we were within 2 minutes for Peter Pan’s Flight, Space Mountain, Splash Mountain, Haunted Mansion and Winnie the Pooh.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Friday, August 8, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Friday saw more ‘8’s and ‘9’s with Animal Kingdom coming in lower again. Attraction level predictions continued to be good including predictions for Rock ’n’ Roller Coster, Star Tours, Kali River Rapids and Expedition Everest that missed by no more than 3 minutes.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Saturday, August 9, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
7

Only Magic Kingdom surprised us Saturday. Biggest contributors were Buzz Lightyear (43 minutes, predicted 33), Pirates of the Caribbean (44 minutes, predicted 28) and Haunted Mansion (32 minutes, predicted 27).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 10 to 16, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Expect busy summer crowds for another 10 days or so, then a slow decline as we approach September. Park hours remain extended for the summer season so touring can be pleasant despite the larger crowds. Just make sure to take a midday break during the hottest and busiest time of the day.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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