Crowd Blog

Will Last Saturday’s Surprise Crowd Repeat Tomorrow at Magic Kingdom?

by on November 21, 2014

We don’t think so, but be prepared with a back-up plan just in case.

Our prediction for the crowd level last Saturday, November 15, was among the 1% of all our predictions that missed by more three index levels on our Crowd Calendar. There are a number of possible explanations, so it is difficult to pinpoint the correct one.

We have no days on record other than last Saturday where Magic Kingdom had a three day stretch that went like this:

  • Thursday with a Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party
  • Friday with a Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party
  • Saturday with evening Extra Magic Hours

So, it may be that this specific combination of park hours and schedules drives up attendance on the Saturday. If so, we may see similarly large crowds tomorrow. That contradicts what we normally see on a Saturday in mid-November, which is why our crowd calendar estimate remains at a level ’2′ for Magic Kingdom tomorrow.

We are cautiously sticking to our prediction for tomorrow until we have sufficient data that suggests a new trend has arrived but we encourage Liners and TouringPlan-ers to have a back up plan just in case. You can make sure to arrive early, be prepared to park-hop, have lunch at a monorail resort, plan a longer mid-day break and use your Lines App to re-optimize your touring plan while in the park.

Remember, a touring plan is the single best way to beat the lines, no matter how crowded it is, and they especially offer great insurance against surprise crowds.

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Disneyland Resort Crowd Report – November 9 to 15, 2014

by on November 19, 2014

Days around Veterans Day historically see no significant bump in attendance at Disneyland Resort. This year seems to be a significant exception. Sunday through Tuesday saw crowd levels that bordered on extreme despite our historical information which would suggest crowds much lower in mid-November. As much as crowds peaked on Tuesday they returned immediately back to levels we would expect by Wednesday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report – November 9 to 15, 2014

by on November 19, 2014

Our predictions last week told us that Universal crowds would be about average the first half of the week then very low for the second half. We were half right. Crowds were low all week. In fact, last week constitutes some of the lowest crowds we’ve seen over a seven day period at Universal Orlando Resort.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Report – November 9 to 15, 2014

by on November 19, 2014

Our resort level predictions for the days around Veterans Day hit the mark but last week was marred by the largest surprise crowd at Magic Kingdom that we have ever seen. About 4% of the time we expect our crowd calendar park level predictions to miss by more than two index levels, about 1% miss by three or more. Never has our Magic Kingdom prediction missed by five levels as it did on Saturday. Last year’s crowd on the same day was a level ’3′ at the Magic Kingdom. We are still not entirely sure what caused the influx of guests to Magic Kingdom on Saturday but judging by the crowd levels since then, it appears to be an isolated occurrence.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans Disney World Crowd Report:

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Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report – November 2 to 8, 2014

by on November 11, 2014

Last week was the slowest week at Universal Orlando Resort since early September. We saw crowd levels less than ’5′ all week at both parks. Our estimates were consistently a level or two too high which tells us that attendance may be down at the resort, a good sign for guests who want to visit in November without experiencing significant crowds.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disneyland Resort Crowd Report – November 2 to 8, 2014

by on November 11, 2014

Our predictions did well again last week with wait times that peaked on Sunday and Saturday with a significant dip in between. Wait times were very low on Wednesday at both parks, the slowest day since early September.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Report – November 2 to 8, 2014

by on November 11, 2014

Last week crowds peaked in the first half of the week and settled in the second half. Crowds spiked around special events like Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party and Epcot’s Food & Wine Half Marathon. Like the week before we witnessed some unexpected closures at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster and Great Movie Ride which may have affected wait times at Disney Hollywood Studios.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

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Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report – October 26 to November 1, 2014

by on November 4, 2014

Even less crowded than the week before, last week at Universal was a good week for crowds. We saw park levels in the bottom half of our scale all week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Report – October 26 to November 1, 2014

by on November 4, 2014

Crowd predictions performed well last week at Walt Disney World with only one of our park level estimates missing by more than two index levels. Halloween crowds were lighter than year’s past although wait times did spike for some attractions on certain days.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

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Disneyland Resort Crowd Report – October 26 to November 1, 2014

by on November 4, 2014

Last week, our Disneyland crowd predictions performed very well, with only one prediction missing by more than 1 index level. Crowds were low during the week and busier on the weekends, as usual. We might have expected a busier Halloween crowd given that this year Halloween fell on a Friday but wait times remained reasonable.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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