Crowd Blog

Disney World Crowd Report – August 10 to 16, 2014

by on August 18, 2014

Predictions did remarkably well at Magic Kingdom and Animal Kingdom last week with all days hitting the mark or missing by only one index level (except for Monday at Animal Kingdom where we missed by two). Predictions were solid most days for The Studios and Epcot as well although crowds did skew higher at those parks. Frozen themed activities may be impacting the crowds at those two parks. Wait times at Spaceship Earth were up all week which pushed Epcot’s crowds higher than expected a few days last week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on this week’s Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 10, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Sixes across the resort except for Epcot (4). No attraction at Magic Kingdom hit an average wait time higher than 54 minutes (Splash Mountain) and all of our predictions were within one index level.

Epcot
3
4
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Monday, August 11, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Epcot trailed the pack again on Monday with low wait times at Soarin’ (61 minutes, predicted 73) and Mission: Space Orange (19 minutes, predicted 25). We correctly predicted Buzz Lightyear at Magic Kingdom would average 48 minutes (a level ’10’ out of ’10’ for that attraction). Pirates of the Caribbean (45 minutes) and Space Mountain (73 minutes) hit a level ’10’ as well.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
7

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Epcot hit the highest point on our scale thanks to higher than expected waits at Mission: Space Orange (55 minutes, predicted 34), Spaceship Earth (26 minutes, predicted 15) and Soarin’ (89 minutes, predicted 81). Crowds were up at The Studios as well (Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster 73 minutes, Toy Story Midway Mania 83 minutes) but within normal ranges at the two Kingdoms.

Epcot
7
10
Hollywood Studios
6
9
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Spaceship Earth averaged 21 minutes on Wednesday (predicted 13) which pushed crowds higher at Epcot. Our predictions for Mission: Space (24 minutes, predicted 22), Soarin’ (64 minutes, predicted 68) and Test Track (70 minutes, predicted 72) were all accurate though.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Thursday, August 14, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Crowds settled down on Thursday with all parks within one of predicted levels. Magic Kingdom hosted Extra Magic Hour morning but only Space Mountain averaged a posted wait higher than 60 minutes, at 66 (predicted 53).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Friday, August 15, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Slightly higher crowds at Epcot and The Studios again on Friday although resort wide the crowd level was a ‘7’ as predicted. The average posted time at Spaceship Earth was 24 minutes, double our prediction of 12 minutes. That is as high an average at Spaceship Earth as we have seen all summer.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, August 16, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Resort wide crowds were a six again on Saturday despite higher crowds again at Epcot. Spaceship Earth went two minutes higher reaching an average of 26 minutes! All other predictions on Saturday were spot on.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
5
5
What to Expect This Week
August 17 to 23, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World

How Crowded is Disney World?

Summer crowds will begin to fade as we enter the fall season, the lowest crowds of the year. Wait times will still be high for popular attractions this week but with a proper touring plan crowds will be manageable.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – August 3 to August 10, 2014

by on August 13, 2014

Crowds continue to be consistent, above average and predictable this summer. Our predictions have performed very well with none missing by more than two index levels all week and most within one. Pirates of the Caribbean did see some suspiciously higher than expected wait times on some days which may indicate that the reduced capacity is having an impact although it is still too soon to tell.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 3, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Crowds were ‘5’s and ‘6’s across the resort on Sunday with wait times remaining within 10 minutes of average. Toy Story Mania averaged 79 minutes, exactly 10 minutes higher than our prediction.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, August 4, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Great results again on Monday with only the Studios missing by more than one index level, due to higher than expected wait times at Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster (71 minutes, predicted 56) and Toy Story Mania (85 minutes, predicted 69). Still, Tower of Terror came in lower than expected at 55 minutes (predicted 67).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
7
9
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, August 5, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Again on Tuesday all our predictions stayed within one index level of what we observed. Epcot hit a level ’10’ on our scale for the first time since July 4th including a 103-minute average posted time at Test Track.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Crowds were up on Wednesday. Jungle Cruise, Pirates of the Caribbean, Space Mountain, Spaceship Earth, Toy Story Mania, Great Movie Ride, Dinosaur, Kali River Rapids and Kilimanjaro Safaris all hit a level ’10’ on our scale.

Epcot
6
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Thursday, August 7, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Level ‘8’ all around except for Animal Kingdom. Predictions all did well. At Magic Kingdom we were within 2 minutes for Peter Pan’s Flight, Space Mountain, Splash Mountain, Haunted Mansion and Winnie the Pooh.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Friday, August 8, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Friday saw more ‘8’s and ‘9’s with Animal Kingdom coming in lower again. Attraction level predictions continued to be good including predictions for Rock ’n’ Roller Coster, Star Tours, Kali River Rapids and Expedition Everest that missed by no more than 3 minutes.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Saturday, August 9, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
7

Only Magic Kingdom surprised us Saturday. Biggest contributors were Buzz Lightyear (43 minutes, predicted 33), Pirates of the Caribbean (44 minutes, predicted 28) and Haunted Mansion (32 minutes, predicted 27).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 10 to 16, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Expect busy summer crowds for another 10 days or so, then a slow decline as we approach September. Park hours remain extended for the summer season so touring can be pleasant despite the larger crowds. Just make sure to take a midday break during the hottest and busiest time of the day.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Hidden Details of Hollywood Studios

by on August 8, 2014

There are many reasons why the Disney Parks stand apart from other theme parks around the world, but one of the biggest has to be Disney’s incredible attention to detail. You can see the extra mile in the form of details just about everywhere on Disney property, from attractions to parade costumes to resorts to transportation to even the bathrooms! Personally, I love the details. They are not only appealing to the eye and fun to find, but almost always meaningful to the history of an attraction or to the story the Imagineers are trying to tell. For today’s post, let’s take a look at the hidden details of Hollywood Studios!

Casablanca Crate at Hollywood Studios

Casablanca Crate at Hollywood Studios

Near Min and Bill’s Dockside Diner at Hollywood Studios, look for a stack of wooden crates near the water. If you take a closer look, you may recognize who the crates are being shipped to and where they have been shipped from! This crate is being sent to Rick Blaine at Rick’s Cafe Americain in Casablanca, Morocco! Sound familiar? We also found crates being sent to a Scarlett O’Hara at Tara and even one belonging to a Charles Foster Kane! Few guests know about these particular hidden details and it’s really easy to walk right past them, so keep your eyes open.

Details around Indiana Jones Epic Stunt Spectacular

Details around Indiana Jones Epic Stunt Spectacular

Read the rest of this entry »

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Pirates of the Caribbean Back Row Roped Off – How Does That Affect Wait Times?

by on August 6, 2014

Pirates of the Caribbean Closes Rear Row

Pirates of the Caribbean Closes Rear Row

Guy Selga, our trusty Disneyland in-park guru has confirmed that the queue leading guests to the back row of the Pirates of the Caribbean loading area is unavailable to guests. How does that affect the wait time?

Let’s say, on average, a Pirates of the Caribbean ride vehicle accommodates 20 guests including 2 adults in the back row. So, we can assume that on average, this new procedure means that Pirates will operate at 90% of its usual capacity (18 out of 20 = 90%). So what is the impact on the amount of time that guests will wait in line? Well, if you are like me you say that a 10% reduction in capacity should mean a 10% increase to the wait time. But that doesn’t work. Why not?

The capacity of an attraction and the amount of time you wait in line are inversely proportional. If capacity goes up, wait time goes down. If capacity goes down, wait time goes up. So, in our example, the Pirates ride vehicle went from holding 20 guests to 18 guests or 18/20ths (90%) of its usual capacity. The change in wait time is therefore 20/18ths of the normal wait time or 11% longer.

Hunh? a 10% reduction in capacity means an 11% increase in wait time?

Read the rest of this entry »

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 27 to August 5, 2014

by on August 6, 2014

Another good week of predictions for the crowd calendar with most days falling within normal error ranges. We’re seeing higher wait times at Disney Hollywood Studios compared to the last few months and we’re seeing moderate summer crowds at Magic Kingdom. Crowds continue to be busy but manageable.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 27, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Sunday crowds were moderate across all four parks with Magic Kingdom coming in as the best park to visit (‘4’ out of 10). Our predictions for Disney’s Hollywood Studios have been very reliable over the past few weeks. For example, on Sunday we predicted Toy Story Mania would have an average wait of 63 minutes, it turned out to be only 5 minutes higher, at 68 minutes.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Monday, July 28, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

On Monday, Toy Story Mania jumped much higher with an average of 80 minutes (predicted 40). Meanwhile, Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster hit 68 minutes (predicted 63).

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
4
8
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday’s crowd at Disney Hollywood Studios settled back down to a level ‘6’, average for the summer season. Epcot saw higher than average crowds while everywhere else crowds came in as expected.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
7

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot surprised us on Wednesday as The Studios did earlier in the week. Living with the Land averaged a remarkably high 17 minutes (predicted 3) as did Spaceship Earth at 27 minutes (predicted 13). Everywhere else we saw crowds at or near predicted levels.

Epcot
4
8
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, July 31, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot came in with a higher level than expected again on Thursday thanks to higher than expected wait times at Spaceship Earth (22 minutes, predicted 11) and Living with the Land (10 minutes, predicted 6). However, Soarin’ and Mission: Space had average wait times lower than predicted.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Friday, August 1, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Low average waits at Magic Kingdom brought the resort-wide level to a ‘5’, two less than we predicted. Only Pirates of the Caribbean met expectations on Friday while other attractions came in below predicted levels. The other three parks were within normal error ranges including a correct prediction at The Studios.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, August 2, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Solid predictions across the board on Saturday. Only The Studios missed but only by one level. Our estimates for Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster, Star Tours and Great Movie Ride were all within 4 minutes.

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 3 to 9, 2014
The Crowd Report

The Crowd Report

Summer crowds will continue for two more weeks then we will see the slow decline in crowds leading to the least busy time of year, early September. Watch out for the Villains Event at Disney Hollywood Studios on August 23, 2014. We expect to see moderate crowds during the day then large crowds in the evening although attraction wait times will be reasonable.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 20 to 26, 2014

by on July 28, 2014

Predictions did remarkably well last week with most days hitting the mark. We saw higher than average wait times, typical of summer crowds with the exception of a slow Saturday. Crowds at Disney Hollywood Studios have bounced back from a slow spring, with wait times in the upper ‘7’s and ‘8’s.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 20, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Our predictions swept the board on Sunday with observations matching predictions at each park. There were similar crowd levels at all four parks, a common trait of summer days.

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Monday, July 21, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Magic Kingdom was an ‘8’ as expected but elsewhere, we saw crowds two levels higher than predicted. Biggest surprises were Spaceship Earth (32 minute average, predicted 12), Toy Story Mania (92, predicted 60) and Kilimanjaro Safaris (28 minute average, predicted 18).

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
5
7

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Close across the board again Tuesday with slightly high wait times at Epcot and The Studios driven by non-headliners like Spaceship Earth and Living with the Land. Toy Story Mania saw higher waits as well, with an average posted time of 83 minutes (predicted 69).

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Great results again on Wednesday including our third day in a row of correct predictions at Magic Kingdom. Summer time crowds tend to be consistent and predictable, especially in mid-July.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Thursday, July 24, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
7

Animal Kingdom was the busiest park at a level ‘9’ on our scale while the other three parks hit a level ‘7’.

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Friday, July 25, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Lowest crowd of the week at Magic Kingdom on Friday. It was the best park by one level as well, compared the the level ‘7’ we observed at the other three parks.

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Saturday, July 26, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Surprisingly low crowds across the board on Saturday. Only a ‘5’ at Magic Kingdom and only a ‘3’ at Animal Kingdom. Epcot was the only park that matched the prediction.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
5
3
What to Expect This Week
July 27 to August 2, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Summer crowds will continue through mid-August when some school districts begin their 2014-2015 school year. Weekends are tending to be slightly less predictable than weekdays so visiting the parks on a Saturday or Sunday may not be as bad as one thinks.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 13 to 19, 2014

by on July 22, 2014

Summer-like crowds have arrived. We saw above average crowds most of last week including some higher wait times at The Studios than we have seen at that park in a while. Elsewhere, our predictions did very well, missing only once or twice.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 13, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Sunday’s crowds were surprisingly low at The Studios but as expected at the other three parks. Toy Story Mania’s averaged stayed below 70 minutes while Tower of Terror was only a 34 minute average posted wait. Guests at Star Tours experienced even lower waits, an average of 14 minutes.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, July 14, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Conversely, Monday’s crowd at the Studios was higher than expected, the first time we have observed that since the spring. Toy Story Mania average posted time reached 83 minutes and Tower of Terror reached 59 minutes. Elsewhere, our predictions all did well with perhaps the exception of Space Mountain where the average posted time was 67 minutes (predicted 58).

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
5
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

No problems with any predictions on Tuesday, we swept the board with only a slight miss at Animal Kingdom. Crowds grew significantly between Sunday and Tuesday.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Predictions did well again on Wednesday although Magic Kingdom wasn’t quite as crowded as expected thanks to lower than expected averages at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (39 minutes, predicted 67), Jungle Cruise (25 minutes, predicted 40) and Splash Mountain (48 minutes, predicted 62).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, July 17, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
8

The Studios stood out again on Thursday with that park’s highest wait times since Easter. Toy Story Mania hit 82 minutes (predicted 62) and Great Movie Ride reached 24 minutes (predicted 19).

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
6
9
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Friday, July 18, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Crowds settled on Friday with no park hitting a level higher than ‘6’ on our scale. Predictions did well across all four parks.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Saturday, July 19, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Only Animal Kingdom missed by more than one index level on Saturday. There we saw average posted times of 27 minutes for Expedition Everest (predicted 37) and 38 minutes for Kali River rapids (predicted 63).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
3
What to Expect This Week
July 20 to 26, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World

How Crowded is Disney World?

Now that crowds have reached typical summer levels we expect to see crowds above average until mid-August.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 6 to 12, 2014

by on July 14, 2014

Last week we updated our Crowd Calendar and our predictions bounced back nicely. We saw most park levels within expected ranges of our predictions. Crowds were still skewing lower than normal but not significantly so as was the case the past several weeks.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 6, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

An average day across the resort which is fairly unusual for mid-July. Magic Kingdom and Epcot were the better choices Sunday even though Magic Kingdom opened until 2:00 am with Extra Magic Hour evening. Wait times were slightly higher at the other two parks but still quite manageable.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Monday, July 7, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

All of Monday’s predictions fell within acceptable limits including a correct prediction of ’7′ at Magic Kingdom. Spaceship Earth was the resort’s biggest surprise with a 25-minute average posted wait (a ’10′ on our scale).

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Lower than expected wait times at Epcot, Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom pushed the resort wide level two points lower than predicted. Magic Kingdom went the other way thanks to a 67-minute average wait at Space Mountain.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Higher crowds than the previous three days rolled in on Wednesday. Animal Kingdom was especially crowded including a 64-minute average wait at Kali River Rapids.

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
9
9

Thursday, July 10, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

By comparison, Kali River Rapids dipped to a 45-minute average on Thursday, pushing the crowd level three points lower than predicted and three points lower than the day before. Soarin’s waits were low as well, only a 58-minute average on Thursday.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Friday, July 11, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Solid predictions resort-wide on Friday, with the noted exception of Spaceship Earth at 22-minutes. Even Living with the Land at 7 minutes was higher than normal. Otherwise, our predictions hit the mark.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Saturday, July 12, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

We didn’t believe our predictions for low crowds on Saturday but they ended up accurate. In fact, Animal Kingdom was less crowded than expected. Anyone in that park experienced the rare crowd level ’2′ in summer.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
2
What to Expect This Week
July 13 to 19, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Crowd levels are expected to be higher this week than they were last week. The ’4′s and ’5′s will be replaced with ’7′s and ’8′s.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – June 29 to July 5, 2014

by on July 7, 2014

Last week, with the exception of July 4th at Magic Kingdom, crowds were lower than history would suggest during the first week of July, including a remarkably uncrowded Independence Day at Disney Hollywood Studios. Although Magic Kingdom and Epcot are showing wait times in line with historical averages, The Studios and Animal Kingdom are not. It may be time to discuss the possibility that Universal’s Harry Potter expansion is drawing guests away from the Disney parks. It may be that guests are visiting Magic Kingdom and Epcot at the same historical frequency but their park choices for further days are begin split between Disney and Universal at a more level ratio than usual. This doesn’t seem to be the case however because wait times are down at Universal parks as well, with the exception of the Wizarding World of Harry Potter. So, it appears that the drop in crowds is more likely due to an overall reduction in attendance across Central Florida parks.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

 

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, June 29, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Low crowds at the three newer parks started off the week again on Sunday. Magic Kingdom, which hosted Extra Magic Hour morning, was the only park with an above average crowd. Epcot’s attractions hit both extremes with a ’10’ at Spaceship Earth (24 minutes) and a ‘1’ for Mission: Space (Green) (5 minutes).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
7
5

Monday, June 30, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

The last day of June brought a near repeat of the 29th with Magic Kingdom hitting the mark and the other three parks falling short of our predictions. Toy Story Mania averaged 73 minutes (‘4’ out of ’10’), Mission: Space (Orange) 15 minutes (‘1’ out of ’10’) and Expedition Everest 35 minutes (‘5’ out of ’10’).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
7
4
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday’s predictions did much better with only The Studios missing by more than one level. Epcot’s Extra Magic Hour morning pushed the park level to one higher than predicted, the first time of the week where our prediction was low.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
5

July 2nd and 3rd are usually the days where we begin to see Independence Day crowds surge to the parks. However Wednesday’s crowds did not quite reach the levels that one would expect. The Magic Kingdom had the lowest crowd, with Space Mountain and Peter Pan’s Flight averaging only 50 minutes.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
9
7
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Thursday, July 3, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Again on Thursday, no park hit higher than a level ‘6’, the lowest July 3rd crowd in 5 years. Those who took our advice and visited the Magic Kingdom on Thursday saw the same Fourth of July Fireworks on a day that reached a level ‘6’ rather July 4th itself when crowds reached a level ’10’.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
8
6
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Friday, July 4, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

The resort-wide ‘6’ on this year’s Independence Day was the lowest since 2010 although the Magic Kingdom did hit a level ’10’ as expected. Shockingly, crowds at The Studios were among the lowest of the year, especially for a holiday. Toy Story Mania averaged 62 minutes while Great Movie Ride averaged only 8 minutes. If you visited the Magic Kingdom on July 3rd and The Studios on July 4th you saw some spectacular fireworks presentations with some the lowest holiday crowds we’ve ever recorded.

Epcot
9
9
Hollywood Studios
8
2
Animal Kingdom
6
3

Saturday, July 5, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Saturday’s crowds returned to normal except for Animal Kingdom which saw very low wait times including a 24 minute average at Expedition Everest and an 11 minute average at Kilimanjaro Safaris. If we learn one thing from this year’s July 4th holiday it would be to schedule yourself for Magic Kingdom on July 3rd, The Studios for July 4th and Animal Kingdom for July 5th. Perhaps we can all remember that for next year.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
7
3
What to Expect This Week
July 6 to 12, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Our crowd predictions continue to be skewing higher than what we observe but we continue to expect summer crowds to remain steadily above average for the rest of July. With a bit of planning however, it appears that this summer may be a great time to visit with lower than expect crowds if July 4th crowds are an indication of what is to come.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Calendar Update – July 2014

by on July 2, 2014

Every day we track all things Disney, including park hours, park schedules, FastPass+ usage and rules, plus weather and dozens of other factors. We also track how these factors affect your wait times in the parks.

Today we’re publishing an update to the Crowd Calendar for the rest of 2014 and early 2015, taking into account Disney’s recent schedule changes and the effect FastPass+ is having on wait times.

Here’s a snapshot of one of our updated models in action:

Posted Standby Wait (in minutes)

Posted Standby Wait (in minutes)

You can check these charts every day for every attraction to see what we predicted and what actually happened in the park. It’s the most accurate Disney crowd calendar available.

Read the rest of this entry »

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