Crowd Blog

Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – June 12 to 18, 2016

by on July 4, 2016

Disney World Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World were very close to what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted between June 12 and 18. The calendar correctly predicted that midweek crowds would be larger than those on the weekend. Magic Kingdom crowds led the way with every day at a crowd level ‘8’ or higher except for Saturday (6). Animal Kingdom was the least crowded park of the week after dipping to a level ‘3’ on Friday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day on the Touringplans.com Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – June 12 to 18, 2016

by on July 4, 2016

June 12 to 18, 2016

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report

Between June 12 and June 18 Disneyland crowds continued to be slightly larger than we have seen in years past although the Disneyland Crowd Calendar resort wide crowds were within one index point of what we observed five out of the seven days. As crowded as Disneyland was, we only saw a crowd level ’10’ once, on Tuesday at Disneyland Park.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – June 12 to 18, 2016

by on July 4, 2016

June 12 to 18, 2016

Universal Crowd Calendar Report

Universal Orlando Resort had surprisingly uncrowded parks between June 12 and 18, 2016, especially Tuesday through Saturday at Islands of Adventure. The Universal Crowd Calendar expected Islands of Adventure to keep pace with its sister park during the week now that a larger percentage of schools were out of session. Universal Studios is driving the resort-wide crowds with Islands of Adventure fading far behind.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Crowd Calendar Report:

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Crowd Calendar Adjustments

by on June 16, 2016

For readers keeping track, we are currently on the fourth iteration of our Crowd Calendar methodology, which has evolved as we have gotten more data and better technology. In the beginning, the only information we had was data collected by the Testa family doing wait time loops and writing down their observations (seems like 100 years ago). When the Lines app was introduced, however, we began getting hundreds of wait times submitted daily by users.

Today, we get thousands of wait times submitted each and every day. Gifted with all of this wait time data, we can validate and evaluate our predictions and methodologies. Well, it is about time to make some new tweaks, which we plan on implementing for 2017. The reason we are bringing this up now is so users are aware and so we can get feedback. Without our users we wouldn’t be able to do this, so we want to make sure we’re giving you the best product we can.

The Touring Plans Crowd Calendar is based on wait times at specific attractions at each park. Yes, simply using that day’s attendance would be better–and we would love to use it, but Disney simply does not release daily park attendance. The reason we decided on attraction wait times is that they are quantifiable and predictions can be verified.

This method is not perfect, though. For instance, the Disney Hollywood Studios changes over the last couple of years have skewed that park’s crowd levels. There are fewer operating attractions at the Studios right now, and the ones that remain tend to be very popular (Rock ‘n Roller Coaster, Toy Story Midway Mania, et al). Therefore, the wait times have increased, but not because there are more people in the park, just that there is less for them to do once they get there.

The way we have designed the current distribution of our crowd levels is to have half of each year’s days with crowd levels between 1 and 5, and the other days with crowd levels between 6 and 10. With the current settings, there are no days with a crowd level of 1, and very few days with a crowd level of 2. The way we plan on adjusting our settings means that some of the “3” days will become “1” or “2” days. Other parks’ crowd levels are also currently skewed, but not as significant has Hollywood Studios.

Hollywood Studio's Crowd Level distribution with current thresholds. With the elevated wait times, there are no days with a crowd level 1.

Hollywood Studio’s Crowd Level distribution with current thresholds. With elevated wait times, there are no days with a crowd level 1.

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – May 15 to 21, 2016

by on June 7, 2016

Universal Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Universal Orlando Last Week?

Last week, Universal Orlando Resort stayed within an index point of what the Universal Crowd Calendar predicted except for Saturday when crowds surged to the highest crowd level of the week. Wait times were manageable all week with the attractions showing moderate waits most days. Busier crowds at Universal Studios were offset by much lighter crowds at Islands of Adventure.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Crowd Calendar Report:

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Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – May 15 to 21, 2016

by on June 7, 2016

Disney World Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Last Week?

Resort-wide, crowds at Walt Disney World were within one index level of what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted each day last week. At the park level predictions also did well with most crowds within one index level and never more than two. The highest crowd level observed all week was a level ‘8’ which means that guests who followed touring plans should have been able to navigate the parks without experiencing major bottlenecks.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar:

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – May 15 to 21, 2016

by on June 7, 2016

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

Disney’s latest quarterly report revealed an increase in attendance at Disneyland Resort which seems to be reflected in the wait times we saw last week. It may be that the popularity of Value Season pricing and short staffing is also causing some longer wait times since the relative increase in wait times is larger than the increase in attendance. Crowds dipped during the weekdays however which is a nice change to what we have seen in the weeks past. Guests using an optimal touring plan on a weekday likely didn’t notice the spike in wait times last week.

Note that the equivalent week last year preceded Memorial Day weekend which drives larger crowds while this year Memorial Day occurred a week later on May 30, 2016.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

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Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – May 8 to 14, 2016

by on May 26, 2016

How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Last Week?

How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World held steady last week with only one park reaching a crowd level above ‘7’ on our scale. Other than that, most days the parks were about average, between ‘4’ and ‘6’. Crowds at Animal Kingdom were a little more volatile than expected but Magic Kingdom stayed very stable will all ‘6’s except Saturday when it went up one notch to a ‘7’.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – May 8 to 14, 2016

by on May 26, 2016

How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

Midweek crowdedness is the new norm for Disneyland Resort. For three of the last four weeks we have seen midweek crowds as busy as weekends which is something that has not happened in years past. Value pricing for single day tickets during the week as well as the lack of annual passholder blockouts may be combining to bring an abnormal number of guests to the park during the week. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues through the summer months.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – May 8 to 14, 2016

by on May 26, 2016

Universal Orlando Crowd Calendar Report

How Crowded Was Universal Orlando Last Week?

Last week, crowds at Universal started out the week low on our scale and by the end of the week had risen a few points higher. This matched the pattern predicted by the Universal Crowd Calendar except that Friday and Saturday’s crowds were a couple points higher than expected. I don’t believe the spike at the end of the week is indicative of an influx of guests since the crowds have settled nicely in the days since.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Universal Crowd Calendar Report:

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