Crowd Blog

Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – April 26 to May 2, 2015

by on May 5, 2015

Last week, the Disneyland Crowd Calendar correctly predicted the crowd levels on Sunday and Saturday but in between, crowd levels were lower than history would suggest. Last week’s trend was more evidence that in off-season conditions the parks are much busier on weekends than weekdays. We expect that trend to continue throughout the rest of May.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – April 26 to May 2, 2015

by on May 5, 2015

Last week a sever thunderstorm washed out most of Central Florida on Tuesday which kept Disney World crowds lower than normal. Ignoring that day, last week the Disney World Crowd Calendar did a great job predicting crowds, missing by more than two index levels only twice. If anything, crowds tended to be lower than expected last week with wait times averaging less than expected about three quarters of the time. Guests of Disney World experienced a good week for crowds with most days staying below a level ‘7’.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – April 26 to May 2, 2015

by on May 5, 2015

Last week, the Universal Crowd Calendar predicted that both parks would be as crowded as they have been in years past at the end of April. In fact, the Universal Orlando Resort was nowhere close as busy as expected. We saw neither park reach a crowd level above a ‘5’ all week and most days were a ‘3’. Wait times were low for guests lucky enough to visit Universal last week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – April 19 to 25, 2015

by on April 28, 2015

Last week, other than Wednesday and Saturday wait times were a couple points lower than the Universal Crowd Calendar predicted. No park reached a crowd level higher than a level ‘6’ on our scale, good news for guests who visited the resort. It seems clear that the Spring Break season has ended and we have entered the post-Easter lull that should last from now through Memorial Day weekend.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – April 19 to 25, 2015

by on April 28, 2015

Last week Disney California Adventure wait times were lower than expected during the first half of the week while during the second half of the week Disneyland Park had higher wait times than expected. Otherwise, the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted average wait times within a few minutes of what we observed.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – April 19 to 25, 2015

by on April 28, 2015

During the middle part of last week crowd levels dipped slightly below the Disney World Crowd Calendar predictions, otherwise crowds were as expected. Park level predictions were within one index level most days as well with the only exception being the two Kingdoms (Magic and Animal) which dipped lower than expected on Wednesday and Thursday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

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The Times They Are a-Changin’

by on April 21, 2015

TouringPlans logoHere at TouringPlans we make our predictions based on empirical data. We spend a crazy amount of effort and time gathering as much information to make the best predictions as possible. We track schedules of the 100 largest school systems in the country. We have a database with millions of wait times. We know what the weather has been in Anaheim and Orlando for the past 10 years. We check the Disney website daily for any changes in events, shows, attractions, and park hours. Out of all the information that we track, school schedules and park hours are some of the best predictors of crowd levels.

Park hours are much more variable than you might think. Walt Disney World’s initial park hours are released to travel agents 6-7 months ahead of time.  Unfortunately, the initial park hours are rarely the final park hours. Besides Epcot’s 9am-9pm schedule, the other parks’ hours may change several times. There are even days where the park hours change within 24 hours. To minimize the changes in our crowd calendar models, we make a prediction of the final park hours.

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24-Hour Summer Kick-Off Celebrations Wait Times

by on April 21, 2015

TouringPlans logoDisney will be doing their 24-hour summer kickoff for the third year at both Disneyland and Walt Disney World. As in the past, this year’s summer kickoff events starts at 6 AM on the Friday before Memorial Day. Disney did their first 24-hour event “One More Disney Day” on February 29, 2012. Disneyland Resort’s event “Diamond Celebration 24-Hour Kickoff” will be the opening night for the three new nighttime spectaculars: “Paint the Night” Parade, “Disneyland Forever” Fireworks, and “World of Color – Celebrate! The Wonderful World of Walt Disney.” Expect large crowds at both Disneyland parks with guests wanting to be the first to see the nighttime spectaculars. The best viewing spots will be taken very early as guests will camp out for hours before the shows. Our attraction wait times do not totally capture the crowds of people in the park. Walt Disney World’s event will be “24-hour Summer Kickoff” and will celebrate the start of the “Coolest Summer Ever.” There are no details on what will make this the “coolest summer ever,” or what will make this year’s event any different than last year’s.  “Frozen Summer Fun” does not start until June 7, at Disney Hollywood’s Studio and is a copy of last years activities.

For this blog post we are look back at wait times for 2013 and 2014. We can assume that 2015 attraction wait times will be similar. The tables show the average posted wait times in two hour increments, and the charts shows the detail data and the 2015 predicted wait time through the 24-hours. During the 24-hour events some attractions will be closed for maintenance and safety checks.

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Universal Crowd Calendar Report – April 12 to 18, 2015

by on April 21, 2015

Two weeks ago the Universal Crowd Calendar predicted crowd levels that ended up being too low indicating that post-Easter / Spring Break crowds were larger than expected. So, it follows that last week’s crowd levels were lower than expected, a sign that the spread of Easter and Spring Break visitors may have been one week shorter than the Universal Crowd Calendar expected.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – April 12 to 18, 2015

by on April 21, 2015

Last week, the Disneyland Crowd Calendar expected wait times to be higher than they actually were. This is an indication that the Post-Easter / Spring Break Season may have arrived a week earlier than history would suggest. The wait times at both parks historically are low once the Easter and Spring Break seasons come to a close so this is a good sign for guests to the parks between now and Memorial Day.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

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