Crowd Blog

Pirates of the Caribbean Back Row Roped Off – How Does That Affect Wait Times?

by on August 6, 2014

Pirates of the Caribbean Closes Rear Row

Pirates of the Caribbean Closes Rear Row

Guy Selga, our trusty Disneyland in-park guru has confirmed that the queue leading guests to the back row of the Pirates of the Caribbean loading area is unavailable to guests. How does that affect the wait time?

Let’s say, on average, a Pirates of the Caribbean ride vehicle accommodates 20 guests including 2 adults in the back row. So, we can assume that on average, this new procedure means that Pirates will operate at 90% of its usual capacity (18 out of 20 = 90%). So what is the impact on the amount of time that guests will wait in line? Well, if you are like me you say that a 10% reduction in capacity should mean a 10% increase to the wait time. But that doesn’t work. Why not?

The capacity of an attraction and the amount of time you wait in line are inversely proportional. If capacity goes up, wait time goes down. If capacity goes down, wait time goes up. So, in our example, the Pirates ride vehicle went from holding 20 guests to 18 guests or 18/20ths (90%) of its usual capacity. The change in wait time is therefore 20/18ths of the normal wait time or 11% longer.

Hunh? a 10% reduction in capacity means an 11% increase in wait time?

Read the rest of this entry »

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 27 to August 5, 2014

by on August 6, 2014

Another good week of predictions for the crowd calendar with most days falling within normal error ranges. We’re seeing higher wait times at Disney Hollywood Studios compared to the last few months and we’re seeing moderate summer crowds at Magic Kingdom. Crowds continue to be busy but manageable.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 27, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Sunday crowds were moderate across all four parks with Magic Kingdom coming in as the best park to visit (‘4’ out of 10). Our predictions for Disney’s Hollywood Studios have been very reliable over the past few weeks. For example, on Sunday we predicted Toy Story Mania would have an average wait of 63 minutes, it turned out to be only 5 minutes higher, at 68 minutes.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Monday, July 28, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

On Monday, Toy Story Mania jumped much higher with an average of 80 minutes (predicted 40). Meanwhile, Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster hit 68 minutes (predicted 63).

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
4
8
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday’s crowd at Disney Hollywood Studios settled back down to a level ‘6’, average for the summer season. Epcot saw higher than average crowds while everywhere else crowds came in as expected.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
7

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot surprised us on Wednesday as The Studios did earlier in the week. Living with the Land averaged a remarkably high 17 minutes (predicted 3) as did Spaceship Earth at 27 minutes (predicted 13). Everywhere else we saw crowds at or near predicted levels.

Epcot
4
8
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, July 31, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot came in with a higher level than expected again on Thursday thanks to higher than expected wait times at Spaceship Earth (22 minutes, predicted 11) and Living with the Land (10 minutes, predicted 6). However, Soarin’ and Mission: Space had average wait times lower than predicted.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Friday, August 1, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Low average waits at Magic Kingdom brought the resort-wide level to a ‘5’, two less than we predicted. Only Pirates of the Caribbean met expectations on Friday while other attractions came in below predicted levels. The other three parks were within normal error ranges including a correct prediction at The Studios.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, August 2, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Solid predictions across the board on Saturday. Only The Studios missed but only by one level. Our estimates for Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster, Star Tours and Great Movie Ride were all within 4 minutes.

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 3 to 9, 2014
The Crowd Report

The Crowd Report

Summer crowds will continue for two more weeks then we will see the slow decline in crowds leading to the least busy time of year, early September. Watch out for the Villains Event at Disney Hollywood Studios on August 23, 2014. We expect to see moderate crowds during the day then large crowds in the evening although attraction wait times will be reasonable.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 20 to 26, 2014

by on July 28, 2014

Predictions did remarkably well last week with most days hitting the mark. We saw higher than average wait times, typical of summer crowds with the exception of a slow Saturday. Crowds at Disney Hollywood Studios have bounced back from a slow spring, with wait times in the upper ‘7’s and ‘8’s.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 20, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Our predictions swept the board on Sunday with observations matching predictions at each park. There were similar crowd levels at all four parks, a common trait of summer days.

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Monday, July 21, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Magic Kingdom was an ‘8’ as expected but elsewhere, we saw crowds two levels higher than predicted. Biggest surprises were Spaceship Earth (32 minute average, predicted 12), Toy Story Mania (92, predicted 60) and Kilimanjaro Safaris (28 minute average, predicted 18).

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
5
7

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Close across the board again Tuesday with slightly high wait times at Epcot and The Studios driven by non-headliners like Spaceship Earth and Living with the Land. Toy Story Mania saw higher waits as well, with an average posted time of 83 minutes (predicted 69).

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Great results again on Wednesday including our third day in a row of correct predictions at Magic Kingdom. Summer time crowds tend to be consistent and predictable, especially in mid-July.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Thursday, July 24, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
7

Animal Kingdom was the busiest park at a level ‘9’ on our scale while the other three parks hit a level ‘7’.

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Friday, July 25, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Lowest crowd of the week at Magic Kingdom on Friday. It was the best park by one level as well, compared the the level ‘7’ we observed at the other three parks.

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Saturday, July 26, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Surprisingly low crowds across the board on Saturday. Only a ‘5’ at Magic Kingdom and only a ‘3’ at Animal Kingdom. Epcot was the only park that matched the prediction.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
5
3
What to Expect This Week
July 27 to August 2, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Summer crowds will continue through mid-August when some school districts begin their 2014-2015 school year. Weekends are tending to be slightly less predictable than weekdays so visiting the parks on a Saturday or Sunday may not be as bad as one thinks.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 13 to 19, 2014

by on July 22, 2014

Summer-like crowds have arrived. We saw above average crowds most of last week including some higher wait times at The Studios than we have seen at that park in a while. Elsewhere, our predictions did very well, missing only once or twice.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 13, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Sunday’s crowds were surprisingly low at The Studios but as expected at the other three parks. Toy Story Mania’s averaged stayed below 70 minutes while Tower of Terror was only a 34 minute average posted wait. Guests at Star Tours experienced even lower waits, an average of 14 minutes.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, July 14, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Conversely, Monday’s crowd at the Studios was higher than expected, the first time we have observed that since the spring. Toy Story Mania average posted time reached 83 minutes and Tower of Terror reached 59 minutes. Elsewhere, our predictions all did well with perhaps the exception of Space Mountain where the average posted time was 67 minutes (predicted 58).

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
5
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

No problems with any predictions on Tuesday, we swept the board with only a slight miss at Animal Kingdom. Crowds grew significantly between Sunday and Tuesday.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Predictions did well again on Wednesday although Magic Kingdom wasn’t quite as crowded as expected thanks to lower than expected averages at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (39 minutes, predicted 67), Jungle Cruise (25 minutes, predicted 40) and Splash Mountain (48 minutes, predicted 62).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, July 17, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
8

The Studios stood out again on Thursday with that park’s highest wait times since Easter. Toy Story Mania hit 82 minutes (predicted 62) and Great Movie Ride reached 24 minutes (predicted 19).

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
6
9
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Friday, July 18, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Crowds settled on Friday with no park hitting a level higher than ‘6’ on our scale. Predictions did well across all four parks.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Saturday, July 19, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Only Animal Kingdom missed by more than one index level on Saturday. There we saw average posted times of 27 minutes for Expedition Everest (predicted 37) and 38 minutes for Kali River rapids (predicted 63).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
3
What to Expect This Week
July 20 to 26, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World

How Crowded is Disney World?

Now that crowds have reached typical summer levels we expect to see crowds above average until mid-August.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – July 6 to 12, 2014

by on July 14, 2014

Last week we updated our Crowd Calendar and our predictions bounced back nicely. We saw most park levels within expected ranges of our predictions. Crowds were still skewing lower than normal but not significantly so as was the case the past several weeks.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 6, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

An average day across the resort which is fairly unusual for mid-July. Magic Kingdom and Epcot were the better choices Sunday even though Magic Kingdom opened until 2:00 am with Extra Magic Hour evening. Wait times were slightly higher at the other two parks but still quite manageable.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Monday, July 7, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

All of Monday’s predictions fell within acceptable limits including a correct prediction of ’7′ at Magic Kingdom. Spaceship Earth was the resort’s biggest surprise with a 25-minute average posted wait (a ’10′ on our scale).

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Lower than expected wait times at Epcot, Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom pushed the resort wide level two points lower than predicted. Magic Kingdom went the other way thanks to a 67-minute average wait at Space Mountain.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Higher crowds than the previous three days rolled in on Wednesday. Animal Kingdom was especially crowded including a 64-minute average wait at Kali River Rapids.

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
9
9

Thursday, July 10, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

By comparison, Kali River Rapids dipped to a 45-minute average on Thursday, pushing the crowd level three points lower than predicted and three points lower than the day before. Soarin’s waits were low as well, only a 58-minute average on Thursday.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Friday, July 11, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Solid predictions resort-wide on Friday, with the noted exception of Spaceship Earth at 22-minutes. Even Living with the Land at 7 minutes was higher than normal. Otherwise, our predictions hit the mark.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Saturday, July 12, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

We didn’t believe our predictions for low crowds on Saturday but they ended up accurate. In fact, Animal Kingdom was less crowded than expected. Anyone in that park experienced the rare crowd level ’2′ in summer.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
2
What to Expect This Week
July 13 to 19, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Crowd levels are expected to be higher this week than they were last week. The ’4′s and ’5′s will be replaced with ’7′s and ’8′s.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – June 29 to July 5, 2014

by on July 7, 2014

Last week, with the exception of July 4th at Magic Kingdom, crowds were lower than history would suggest during the first week of July, including a remarkably uncrowded Independence Day at Disney Hollywood Studios. Although Magic Kingdom and Epcot are showing wait times in line with historical averages, The Studios and Animal Kingdom are not. It may be time to discuss the possibility that Universal’s Harry Potter expansion is drawing guests away from the Disney parks. It may be that guests are visiting Magic Kingdom and Epcot at the same historical frequency but their park choices for further days are begin split between Disney and Universal at a more level ratio than usual. This doesn’t seem to be the case however because wait times are down at Universal parks as well, with the exception of the Wizarding World of Harry Potter. So, it appears that the drop in crowds is more likely due to an overall reduction in attendance across Central Florida parks.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

 

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, June 29, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Low crowds at the three newer parks started off the week again on Sunday. Magic Kingdom, which hosted Extra Magic Hour morning, was the only park with an above average crowd. Epcot’s attractions hit both extremes with a ’10’ at Spaceship Earth (24 minutes) and a ‘1’ for Mission: Space (Green) (5 minutes).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
7
5

Monday, June 30, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

The last day of June brought a near repeat of the 29th with Magic Kingdom hitting the mark and the other three parks falling short of our predictions. Toy Story Mania averaged 73 minutes (‘4’ out of ’10’), Mission: Space (Orange) 15 minutes (‘1’ out of ’10’) and Expedition Everest 35 minutes (‘5’ out of ’10’).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
7
4
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday’s predictions did much better with only The Studios missing by more than one level. Epcot’s Extra Magic Hour morning pushed the park level to one higher than predicted, the first time of the week where our prediction was low.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
5

July 2nd and 3rd are usually the days where we begin to see Independence Day crowds surge to the parks. However Wednesday’s crowds did not quite reach the levels that one would expect. The Magic Kingdom had the lowest crowd, with Space Mountain and Peter Pan’s Flight averaging only 50 minutes.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
9
7
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Thursday, July 3, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Again on Thursday, no park hit higher than a level ‘6’, the lowest July 3rd crowd in 5 years. Those who took our advice and visited the Magic Kingdom on Thursday saw the same Fourth of July Fireworks on a day that reached a level ‘6’ rather July 4th itself when crowds reached a level ’10’.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
8
6
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Friday, July 4, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

The resort-wide ‘6’ on this year’s Independence Day was the lowest since 2010 although the Magic Kingdom did hit a level ’10’ as expected. Shockingly, crowds at The Studios were among the lowest of the year, especially for a holiday. Toy Story Mania averaged 62 minutes while Great Movie Ride averaged only 8 minutes. If you visited the Magic Kingdom on July 3rd and The Studios on July 4th you saw some spectacular fireworks presentations with some the lowest holiday crowds we’ve ever recorded.

Epcot
9
9
Hollywood Studios
8
2
Animal Kingdom
6
3

Saturday, July 5, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Saturday’s crowds returned to normal except for Animal Kingdom which saw very low wait times including a 24 minute average at Expedition Everest and an 11 minute average at Kilimanjaro Safaris. If we learn one thing from this year’s July 4th holiday it would be to schedule yourself for Magic Kingdom on July 3rd, The Studios for July 4th and Animal Kingdom for July 5th. Perhaps we can all remember that for next year.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
7
3
What to Expect This Week
July 6 to 12, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Our crowd predictions continue to be skewing higher than what we observe but we continue to expect summer crowds to remain steadily above average for the rest of July. With a bit of planning however, it appears that this summer may be a great time to visit with lower than expect crowds if July 4th crowds are an indication of what is to come.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Calendar Update – July 2014

by on July 2, 2014

Every day we track all things Disney, including park hours, park schedules, FastPass+ usage and rules, plus weather and dozens of other factors. We also track how these factors affect your wait times in the parks.

Today we’re publishing an update to the Crowd Calendar for the rest of 2014 and early 2015, taking into account Disney’s recent schedule changes and the effect FastPass+ is having on wait times.

Here’s a snapshot of one of our updated models in action:

Posted Standby Wait (in minutes)

Posted Standby Wait (in minutes)

You can check these charts every day for every attraction to see what we predicted and what actually happened in the park. It’s the most accurate Disney crowd calendar available.

Read the rest of this entry »

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Disney World Crowd Report – June 22 to 28, 2014

by on June 30, 2014

Most school districts have completed the 2013-2014 school year now although crowds are still trending slightly lower than history would suggest. We saw few instances with wait times higher than predicted. Star Tours and other Studios attractions continue to operate with lower demand than usual.

Let’s look at the Disney World Crowd Report to see how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, June 22, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

The lucky number on Sunday was ‘6’, with all parks hitting a level ‘6’ except for The Studios. Star Tours was the big surprise on Sunday with an average wait time of 16 minutes (predicted 26). A 16 minute average posted time at Star Tours represents a ‘1’ on our scale. Star Tours continues to operate at a capacity higher than its demand.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Monday, June 23, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Monday’s crowds were lower than expected except for Magic Kingdom. Our estimates at Magic Kingdom continue to perform very well with no predictions missing by more than two index levels (only Big Thunder Mountain Railroad and Peter Pan’s Flight missed by two). Although Animal Kingdom was not as bad as predicted it was still the busiest park.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
9
7

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Crowds went up a notch as predicted on Tuesday. Epcot was the most crowded with Test Track reaching an average posted time of 103 minutes. Perhaps even more telling is Spaceship Earth’s average posted time of 31 minutes, a definite ’10’ out of ’10’ for that attraction.

Epcot
9
9
Hollywood Studios
8
5
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

We correctly predicted another crowd level ‘9’ on Wednesday, this time at Animal Kingdom. Kali River Rapids had an average posted time of 65 minutes, a ’10’ on its scale while Expedition Everest stayed about average at 33 minutes. Dinosaur was very busy at a 41-minute average posted time. Star Tours continues to underwhelm with an average wait of 20 minutes, the lowest of the headliners by 40 minutes.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
8
6
Animal Kingdom
9
9

Thursday, June 26, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Slightly smaller crowds on Thursday although no park dipped below the average, ’5’. Pirates of the Caribbean reached an average posted wait of 34 minutes which is as crowded as it gets for that attraction while most other Magic Kingdom attractions stayed closer to the park wide level, ‘6’.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Friday, June 27, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Toy Story Mania (81 minutes, predicted 106) and Tower of Terror (50 minutes, predicted 79) put The Studios crowd level two lower than expected although our estimates for Great Movie Ride and Star Tours were within one minute of their predicted average. Animal Kingdom wasn’t so bad either where the highest average wait was 54 minutes at Kali River Rapids.

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Saturday, June 28, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
6

Lower crowds than expected at every park except Magic Kingdom. The first time of the week we missed a crowd level by 3 index points (Studios and Animal Kingdom). Epcot’s numbers were only slightly lower than predicted with only Soarin’ and Test Track missing by more than 20 minutes.

Epcot
5
4
Hollywood Studios
7
4
Animal Kingdom
8
5
What to Expect This Week
June 29 to July 5, 2014
Disney World Crowd Calendar

Disney World Crowd Calendar

School is out and summer crowds begin! July 4th is one of the busiest days at Walt Disney World, chances are good that Magic Kingdom will reach capacity at some part of the day. Although still very crowded, The Studios is a great choice for July 4th festivities if you are looking to minimize crowds.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Disney World Crowd Report – June 15 to 21, 2014

by on June 23, 2014

Two weeks ago on the Crowd Report we saw that the extension of the school year for some districts lowered the crowds levels across the resort. It appears that this past week may be the final week where we see that phenomenon. Crowds were one or two levels lower than expected this week but that was almost exclusively due to lower than expected wait times at Disney Hollywood Studios.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, June 15, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

No surprises on Father’s Day Sunday. All four parks came in within one of our predicted crowd levels and all were either a ‘6’ or a ‘5’. Star Wars Weekends brought higher wait times to the Studios than pervious weekends, including a 29-minute average wait at Star Tours. Despite hosting Extra Magic Hour evening until 2:00 am, Magic Kingdom stayed at a relatively calm level ‘6’ during the day with only Space Mountain (51 mins), Splash Mountain (56 mins) and Peter Pan’s Flight (46 mins) reaching an average posted wait time above 40 minutes.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
5
5
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Monday, June 16, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Crowds at Disney Hollywood Studios have surprised us throughout May and June and continued to surprise us this week. A 10:00 pm closing plus Evening Extra Magic Hours until midnight would suggest a park crowd level around ‘8’ but attractions like Toy Story Mania (75 minutes), Tower of Terror (46) and Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster (53) had average wait times well below what history would suggest (predicted 102, 64 and 73 minutes, respectively). The phenomenon continues to focus only at The Studios. We saw ‘7’s and ‘6’s at the other three parks, as expected.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
8
4
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Another very slow day at The Studios on Tuesday. Toy Story Mania averaged 69 minutes (predicted 99), Tower of Terror 37 minutes (predicted 64) and Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster averaged 53 minutes (predicted 70). Meanwhile, Animal Kingdom was very crowded with all attractions reaching a level ‘8’ or higher on our scale with the only exception of Expedition Everest (averaged 36 minutes, a level ‘6’).

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
8
4
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Wednesday’s crowds were the lowest of week, especially for Epcot. Soarin’ averaged 79 minutes which is only a ‘6’ on our scale and Test Track hit an average of 67 minutes, twenty minutes lower than expected. Overall, our predictions hit the mark again with Disney Hollywood Studios as the only exception, again.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
8
5
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, June 19, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Again on Thursday we saw low crowds at The Studios. Toy Story Mania averaged only 69 minutes, very low for a Thursday in June with a park closing of 10:00 pm. Our prediction of ‘7’ for Magic Kingdom and Epcot looked good though, even though Magic Kingdom hosted Extra Magic Hour morning and remained open until 1:00 am.

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
8
4
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Friday, June 20, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Slightly lower crowds on Friday with no park hitting a level above ‘6’. We will be interested to see how wait times look at The Studios over the next few weekends now that Star Wars Weekends have concluded. Will they return to stable levels compared to history or will it continue to surprise us with low wait times.

Epcot
7
6
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
7
5

Saturday, June 21, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Saturday’s wait times were slightly lower than predicted across the resort although Epcot was a ‘5’ as predicted. Any park seemed to be a good choice on Saturday. Disney Hollywoods Studios reached a level ‘4’ which was lower than expected but similar to Saturdays during Star Wars Weekends in May and June.

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
7
5
What to Expect This Week
June 22 to 28, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?

How Crowded is Disney World?

Summer season is upon us so you can expect the parks to be crowded, hot and rainy in the afternoon. Park hours are long however so you have lots of time to visit in the morning, take a midday break and return in the evening for a full day of touring.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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FastPass+ Is Lowering Your Wait at Popular Disney World Rides

by on June 23, 2014

In April we took at look at How FastPass+ Is Affecting Your Wait In Line At Disney World. We saw a small increase in standby wait times for secondary attractions like Spaceship Earth and Pirates of the Caribbean, and a small drop in standby wait times for super-headliners like Space Mountain and Expedition Everest.

Here’s an update, using 278,000 wait times from Walt Disney World between February 1 and June 19, 2014:

How Fastpass+ Affects Your Waits in Line

Read the rest of this entry »

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