April crowds at Walt Disney World and Disneyland Resort have always been a bit of an enigma. Holidays like July 4th, Thanksgiving and Christmas are super crowded but at least they are easy to predict because they stay in the same place on the calendar every year. Easter is a holiday based on the lunar cycle, the solar cycle, the division of the year into 365 days and a 1,700 year old ruling by Emporer Constantine I. Just confusing enough to keep us on our toes.
This year, with Easter falling at the end of April (which hasn’t happened since 2006), it means very little overlap between School Breaks and the Easter break. The majority of Spring Break vacations will be taking place between March 12th and March 27th. There are always a minority of school districts that schedule a Spring Break outside the others but this year that minority appears to be a little larger than normal. As many as 10% of school districts will have their Spring Break between March 27th and April 10th including some school districts in Florida and Georgia. Our estimates for the crowd levels during this time have increased to account for those vacationers.
There is no doubt that crowds in March and April are among the most unpredictable of the year. We strongly encourage you to use a Touring Plan during your Spring Break visit. Touring Plans are your best insurance against large crowds.