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Disney World Crowd Report – October 5 to 11, 2014

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Resort-wide crowds were busier on the weekend and days adjacent to the weekend, while crowds dipped during the middle part of the week. We predicted crowds to be flatter. Crowd numbers are slowly creeping higher as we leave behind the slower part of the Fall Season and head into the Halloween/Thanksgiving Season.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, October 5, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
4

Magic Kingdom reached a surprising level ‘4’ on Sunday despite hosting an evening Halloween party. Usually crowds stay much lower on party days. Only Animal Kingdom hit our predicted level including a 27 minute average posted time at Dinosaur (as predicted).

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
4
7
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Monday, October 6, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Hollywood Studios reached a level ‘7’ for the second day in a row on Monday, a feat usually reserved for busier times of the year, although Tower of Terror actually had a wait time much lower than expected (42 minutes, predicted 63).

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
6

Tuesday is the first day where we saw a dip in mid-week crowds. The ‘5’s to ‘7’s of Sunday-Monday turned into ‘3’s to ‘6’s on Tuesday.

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
5

Three parks hit the middle-point of our scale on Wednesday while Animal Kingdom hit it’s lowest crowd of the week, thanks to lower than expected wait times at all main attractions except Kali River Rapids.

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Thursday, October 9, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
5

Another Not-So-Scary Halloween Party at the Magic Kingdom on Thursday and another crowd level ‘5’ during the day. Wait times like 27 minutes at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (predicted 37) were mixed with waits like 39 minutes at Jungle Cruise (predicted 31) and 43 at Splash Mountain (predicted 31).

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
5
4
Animal Kingdom
6
3

Friday, October 10, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
5

More crowds at or above average levels as we see the mid-week dip come to an end on Friday. Great Movie Ride had a whopping 29 minute average wait (predicted 9) while Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster, Star Tours and Toy Story Mania had a busy day as well. Studios crowd levels may continue to be affected by Fastpass Plus-only experiments at Toy Story Mania.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
4
7
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Saturday, October 11, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

Another jump in crowds on Saturday with two parks hitting a level ‘8’, something that hasn’t happened since mid-summer. Meanwhile our predictions at the other two parks hit the mark.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7
What to Expect This Week
October 12 to 18, 2014
How Crowded is Walt Disney World?
How Crowded is Walt Disney World?

Last week brought a sneak-peak into the heavier crowds that we can expect to arrive later in October, especially on weekends. We expect the middle of the week to continue to be the best choice for touring the parks.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

4 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Report – October 5 to 11, 2014

  • Alabama got Fall Break back after not having it the last 2 years. Everyone went to Disney!

    Reply
  • Any thought as to why last week’s crowds were so high?

    Reply
  • From what I can tell there’s no such thing as “off season” low crowds.

    Reply
    • In a way, I agree David. There is certainly no such thing as a day at Disney World without crowds, especially the Magic Kingdom. We try to express the relative crowdedness of each day with our ‘1’ to ’10’ scale but by no means should a ‘1’ indicate that the park is empty, far from it.

      I would say that the first week of September is as close as you can get to empty parks. Headliners average wait times in the single digits that week every year.

      Reply

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