Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – March 22 to 28, 2015

A cold front in Central Florida last week kept the Disney World crowd levels lower than the crowd calendar predicted. Local residents on Spring Break who planned to visit the theme parks may have chosen to remain at home rather than head to the parks and battle the March chills. Crowds were still significant however, with many days reaching levels in the upper part of our scale – plenty of ‘6’s, ‘7’s and ‘8’s.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, March 22, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
5

Sunday crowds were the first of the week to show the affects of the cool temperatures. Every park hit a level two points lower than the calendar expected – good news for visitors who took advantage.

Epcot
8
6
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
9
7

Monday, March 23, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
4

Normally, during the third week in March the parks attract enough families with kids on break to keep the parks at level ‘7’ or higher. Last Monday, only Epcot and Hollywood Studios managed that. We saw average wait times of 35 minutes at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (predicted 51) and 21 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 45).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
8
4

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
9

Tuesday’s crowds bounced back nicely and ended up as the busiest day of the week (or at least in a close tie with Saturday’s crowd). Both Magic Kingdom and Epcot reached a level ‘9’ on our scale.

Epcot
9
9
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
6

As quickly as crowded increased on Tuesdays, they dropped back on Wednesday. The Hollywood Studios almost fell off the map with a remarkable level ‘3’ on Wednesday. Usually, the demographics of Spring Break crowds dictate that the Studios with its two thrill rides will be very busy. Not the case last Wednesday with an average wait of 53 minutes at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster (a level ‘4’) and 34 minutes at Tower of Terror (a level ‘1’).

Epcot
9
7
Hollywood Studios
9
3
Animal Kingdom
9
7

Thursday, March 26, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
7

The Crowd Calendar correctly predicted the crowd levels at The Studios and Epcot on Thursday but crowds at Magic Kingdom and Animal Kingdom were three steps lower than history would suggest.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Friday, March 27, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
8

Crowds remained stable on Friday except at The Studios where we saw average wait times like 61 minutes at Toy Story Midway Mania and 22 minutes at Star Tours. Those averages translate to levels ‘2’ and ‘3’ respectively on our scale – very low for week with many schools on break.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
6
7

Saturday, March 28, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

All predictions did well on Saturday as the cold front slowly began to transition to seasonal March weather. Wait times were within a few minutes of predicted averages at all major attractions.

Epcot
8
7
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
7
9
What to Expect This Week
March 29 to April 4, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Next week is peak season for Spring Break. Only 22% of school districts are in session on Good Friday which means many families make the trek to Disney World in an attempt to minimize the numbers of days that the kids miss school.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – March 22 to 28, 2015

  • March 31, 2015 at 7:47 am
    Permalink

    Great analysis, would just argue with rationale on Sunday, 3/22. It was not cool. It as unseasonably hot. Temps pushed 90. Locals and CMs were complaining of heat. Monday had significant rain in the morning that kept MK wonderfully low.

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