Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – March 29 to April 4, 2015

The Crowd Calendar predicted that last week’s crowds would be at the top end of our scale for the first half of the week then taper off towards the end of the week –  and it was right. Our predictions hit the mark within one index point every day last week. Remarkably, it also correctly predicted that crowds during the week would be larger than crowds on the weekend.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, March 29, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Epcot was the only park to reach the top level on our scale on Sunday. Soarin’ averaged a wait time of 115 minutes between 10am and 5pm, a clear level ’10’. Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom clearly lagged behind the other two parks, as predicted.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Monday, March 30, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Monday’s crowds were a very near clean sweep of level ’10’s were it not for the level ‘9’ at Hollywood Studios. Only Winnie the Pooh at the Magic Kingdom stayed below an average wait of 55 minutes while Space Mountain peaked above 100, at 107 minutes.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
8
10

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Similar story on Tuesday with two of the four parks hitting the top level on our scale. The warm weather put Splash Mountain over a 100 minute average for the day at 108 minutes.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
8
8
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Wednesday, April 1, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
9

A third extremely busy day in a row last Wednesday although wait times at Magic Kingdom didn’t quite reach the same level as Monday and Tuesday. The Studios saw its busiest day of the week with average wait times of 120 minutes at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster and 96 minutes at Tower of Terror.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
10
10
Animal Kingdom
10
8

Thursday, April 2, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
8

By Thursday, crowds moved slowly away from Magic Kingdom bringing that park’s level down to an ‘8’ despite hosting Extra Magic Hour Morning. Space Mountain hit its highest average of the week however, at 122 minutes.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
9
7
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Friday, April 3, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Typically, crowds driven by holidays will arrive on a Saturday or Sunday and depart the following Saturday or Sunday. This means crowds will be busiest on the Monday through the Friday. We saw this last week with only Epcot hitting a level ‘9’ on Friday.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Saturday, April 4, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

It is rare to see Saturday at Magic Kingdom be the lowest crowd of the week but that was the case last Saturday. Again, a sign that Spring Break crowds were heading home by the weekend.

Epcot
7
8
Hollywood Studios
5
4
Animal Kingdom
8
7
What to Expect This Week
April 5 to 11, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

The end of Spring Break season is approaching. Although most schools are back in session there are still some that have yet to take their break. But we expect crowds to be significantly lower than they were last week.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.