Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – May 17 to 23, 2015

The Disneyland Crowd Calendar predictions did great last week, missing only one day (Tuesday) on the resort-wide index. We saw average wait times in the upper half of our scale all week with no day dipping below a level ‘5’. Crowds on Friday’s 24-Hour Event were extreme but based on the definition of our crowd level index (average wait for core¬†attractions between 10am and 5pm) the park level’s stayed below ’10’. It appears that the blue line indicating what we predicted on our Disneyland Overall Crowd Level Chart is missing the second half of the week. That is because the predictions are hidden behind the red line indicating what we actually observed.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, May 17, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
7
8

As is typical for weekends during non-peak seasons, wait times are significantly higher than during the week. This was the case on Sunday. Indiana Jones Adventure averaged 49 minutes (predicted 43).

Disney California Adventure
8
8

Monday, May 18, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
6
8

Monday’s wait times were a couple points higher than expected at many attractions. We saw averages like 32 minutes at Astro Orbitor (predicted 18).

Disney California Adventure
6
7

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
6
6

Wait times seemed to settle down a little by Tuesday with each park’s crowd level hitting a couple points lower than the previous few days. Pirates of the Caribbean averaged 18 minutes (predicted 13) which translates to a level ‘7’ on our scale.

Disney California Adventure
6
5

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
6

Disney California Adventure hit its lowest level of the week on Wednesday. There we saw averages like 13 minutes at California Screamin’ and 75 minutes at Radiator Springs Racers.

Disney California Adventure
5
4

Thursday, May 21, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
5

Thursday’s crowd levels were similar to Wednesday’s and also the lowest of the week at both parks.

Disney California Adventure
5
4

Friday, May 22, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
10
8

Friday was the 24-Hour Event and crowds were extreme for much of the day. Special events like this are examples where the crowd scale we use may not reflect the intensity of crowds at the resort. Nevertheless, based on the average waits between 10am and 5pm, we saw a level ‘8’ at Disneyland.

Disney California Adventure
10
6

Saturday, May 23, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
8
9

Crowded parks continued on Saturday. We saw averages like 39 minutes at Alice In Wonderland and 24 minutes at Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters.

Disney California Adventure
7
6
What to Expect This Week
May 24 to 30, 2015
How Crowded is Disneyland?
How Crowded is Disneyland?

Memorial Day is over and so is the 24-Hour Event but late May and early June are expected to be moderate to busy. Grad Nites have arrived at Disney California Adventure so unless you are participating we recommend scheduling your DCA visit for a day without the event.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – May 17 to 23, 2015

  • May 27, 2015 at 11:08 am
    Permalink

    If Disneyland is only an 8 on a day that it was closed due to capacity MOST of the day and DCA is a 6 on a day it was also closed for a short period of time, there may be adjustments that need to be made in how the crowd calendar tracks crowds.

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