Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – June 21 to 27, 2015

Last week crowds at Disney World dipped a little lower than expected on Monday and Tuesday thanks to lower waits at Epcot and Animal Kingdom but otherwise followed the curve predicted by the Disney World Crowd Calendar. That curve itself is interesting because it shows that weekends tend to be less busy than weekdays which is not usually the case other times of the year. It is summer now and that means family vacations are not determined by school schedules since most schools are not in session. Travellers tend to use Saturday and Sunday as travel days which means the parks are busier during the week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, June 21, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Sunday’s crowds were moderate at all four parks. We saw average wait times of 33 minutes at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (predicted 34), 56 at Test Track (69), 71 at Toy Story Midway Mania (66) and 31 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 35).

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
5
5
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Monday, June 22, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Monday’s predictions missed at Epcot and Animal Kingdom but hit the mark at the other two parks. At Epcot, wait times at the super headliners were close to predicted but it was the lesser attractions that lagged behind for some reason. We saw averages of 73 minutes at Soarin’ (predicted 83) but only 5 minutes at Mission: Space Green (predicted 20) and 15 minutes at Living with the Land (predicted 23).

Epcot
9
6
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Tuesday, June 23, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Tuesday’s crowds were busy across the board but not quite as busy as expected (again) at Epcot and Animal Kingdom. At Magic Kingdom the Disney World Crowd Calendar correctly predicted the crowd level for the third day in a row.

Epcot
10
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
10
8

Wednesday, June 24, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Wednesday turned out to be the busiest day of the week with ‘9’ being the lowest level at any park. That translates to average wait times like 73 minutes at Splash Mountain (predicted 63), 92 at Test Track (93), 69 at Tower of Terror (64) and 55 at Expedition Everest (52).

Epcot
10
9
Hollywood Studios
7
9
Animal Kingdom
10
10

Thursday, June 25, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Animal Kingdom proved to be the best choice on Thursday but only by a slight margin, all four parks were busy. On Thursday the Disney World Crowd Calendar correctly predicted the level (within one) at all four parks.

Epcot
9
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
7

Friday, June 26, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Another good day of predictions on Friday with all four parks coming within one index level of what the Crowd Calendar predicted including the sixth day in a row of correct predictions at Magic Kingdom. Animal Kingdom again was the best choice with a crowd level ‘6’.

Epcot
9
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Saturday, June 27, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
7

Saturday saw the first crowd level ‘5’ at any park since Sunday. Saturday marks the first day of summer break on our calendar which we define as that point of the year when at least 90% of schools are no longer in session.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
7
6
What to Expect This Week
June 28 to July 4, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Most schools are out of session for the summer which means crowds will be steady and won’t differ much from day-to-day. Next week includes July 4th, one of the busiest days of the year so be prepared.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

3 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – June 21 to 27, 2015

  • June 30, 2015 at 9:35 am
    Permalink

    i asked this last week and no one responded:

    I’m wondering how the closure of Pirates of the Caribbean is affecting wait times and the “crowded feeling” at the Magic Kingdom. Does the closure of a large-capacity attraction like Pirates have a significant impact on touring plans? It seems there would be some kind of effect, with all those folks now having to go elsewhere in the park.
    reply

  • June 30, 2015 at 8:55 pm
    Permalink

    “Next week includes July 4th, one of the busiest days of the year so be prepared.”

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