Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – July 19 to 25, 2015

How Did The Crowd Calendar Do?
How Did The Crowd Calendar Do?

Predicting crowd levels at Disney World is tough, even for seasoned veterans like us, so our goal for the Disney World Crowd Calendar is to get within one index level 90% of the time. Based on that, last week was a win each day overall. We saw the overall crowd level reach ‘8’ or ‘9’ every day last week except for Sunday when it hit a level ‘7’ (as predicted). This is all despite Epcot crowd levels being down a little last week with six out of seven days hitting a crowd level lower than what the Disney World Crowd Calendar expected.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 19, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Hollywood Studios had the lowest crowd level on Sunday thanks to average wait times of 21 minutes at Star Tours (predicted 22) and 24 minutes at The Great Movie Ride (predicted 25). Tower of Terror’s average wait was 36 minutes, much lower than normal.

Epcot
9
7
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Monday, July 20, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
10

Magic Kingdom’s crowd level hit the highest point on our scale last Monday, something it hasn’t done since the first week of the month. All the Mountains (Space, Splash, Big Thunder) were a ’10’ as was Peter Pan’s Flight with a 79 minute average wait (predicted 73).

Epcot
9
8
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
9
6

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
10

Another level ’10’ at Magic Kingdom on Tuesday. We have to go back to Easter to find the last time we saw back-to-back level ’10’ days. All the key attractions that make up the calendar estimates hit a crowd level ’10’ at Magic Kingdom on Tuesday making it one of the busiest days in the last few years. Space Mountain averaged 103 minutes!

Epcot
9
9
Hollywood Studios
8
8
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
10

More crowded parks on Wednesday including a┬áthird level ’10’ at Magic Kingdom. Jungle Cruise (50 minutes) and Splash Mountain (84 minutes) were stand-outs for high average waits although Space Mountain at 101 minutes was no slouch. Meanwhile at Epcot, Test Track averaged only 66 minutes – a level ‘7’.

Epcot
9
7
Hollywood Studios
8
9
Animal Kingdom
9
9

Thursday, July 23, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

Wait times at Magic Kingdom saw some relief on Thursday likely due to the Extra Magic Hour morning. On crowded days having an extra hour for touring in the morning keeps the peak times a little lower later in the day. Space Mountain averaged 81 minutes.

Epcot
9
7
Hollywood Studios
8
8
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Friday, July 24, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

Friday’s crowds were the lowest we had seen since Sunday although Magic Kingdom was still very busy. Animal Kingdom was the least crowded with average wait times like 21 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris and 33 at Expedition Everest.

Epcot
9
8
Hollywood Studios
8
7
Animal Kingdom
8
6

Saturday, July 25, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Epcot saw its lowest crowd of the week on Saturday. There we saw average wait times like 8 minutes for Living with the Land and 16 minutes at Spaceship Earth.

Epcot
9
6
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
7
7
What to Expect This Week
July 26 to August 1, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

The last week of July will be similar to the rest of the month. We don’t expect to see a dip in crowd levels until the middle of August when schools begin to return to session.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – July 19 to 25, 2015

  • August 1, 2015 at 7:13 am
    Permalink

    “Wait times at Magic Kingdom saw some relief on Thursday likely due to the Extra Magic Hour morning. On crowded days having an extra hour for touring in the morning keeps the peak times a little lower later in the day.” This seems counter intuitive from the usual TP thinking that Extra Magic morning hours results in larger crowds during the day as more people have planned to be at that park. Guests see that the park has Extra Magic morning hours, plan to go to that park, and may or may not get up in time to take advantage of the early opening, but go to the park regardless since that is what they planned. This results in that park having more crowds than a park without Extra Magic hours.

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