Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – November 1 to 7, 2015

How Did The Disneyland Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?
How Did The Disneyland Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?

Last week Disneyland wait times started one level higher than expected on Sunday then descended each day until Thursday when they begin to spike heading into the weekend. The Disneyland Crowd Calendar matched that pattern but missed in magnitude on Monday, Thursday and Saturday while hitting the mark within one level three other days.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, November 1, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
6
7

Sunday’s crowd levels were the same at both Disneyland parks. At Disneyland that means average wait times like 28 minutes at Jungle Cruise and 20 minutes at Astro Orbitor. At Disney California Adventure a ‘7’ means averages like 43 minutes at Toy Story Midway Mania and 35 minutes at Soarin’ Over California.

Disney California Adventure
6
7

Monday, November 2, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
7

Wait times were higher than expected last Monday. At Disneyland we saw Mickey’s House, Pirates of the Caribbean and Haunted Mansion hit ’10’ out of ’10’ on their respective attraction level scales. Disney California Adventure was less crowded but still two points higher than the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted.

Disney California Adventure
3
5

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
6

Tuesday’s crowd levels dropped a point at both parks compared to Monday. At Disneyland, Dumbo averaged 27 minutes (predicted 20) and Mr Toad’s Wild Ride averaged 17 (predicted 20) while at DIsney California Adventure we saw averages of 34 minutes at Tower of Terror (predicted 29) and 24 at California Screamin’ (predicted 20).

Disney California Adventure
5
4

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
3

Wednesday saw the lowest crowds of the week as predicted by the Disneyland Crowd Calendar. Disney California Adventure was a little busier than Disneyland but not by much. Grizzly River Run only averaged 6 minutes but California Screamin’ averaged 26.

Disney California Adventure
2
4

Thursday, November 5, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
6

On Thursday wait times dropped a point compared to Wednesday at Disney California Adventure while Disneyland wait times spiked up enough to be three points higher than the day before. It was Alice in Wonderland (33 minutes, predicted 19) and Astro Orbitor (24 minutes, predicted 11) that were the biggest surprises.

Disney California Adventure
2
3

Friday, November 6, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
7

Indiana Jones Adventure averaged 40 minutes (predicted 27) and Peter Pan’s Flight averaged 48 (predicted 32) which pushed Disneyland’s crowd level a few points higher than expected. At Disney California Adventure it was Tower of Terror at 49 minutes (35) and Monsters Inc at 16 minutes (6) that contributed to the higher crowds.

Disney California Adventure
4
7

Saturday, November 7, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
8

Saturday was the most crowded day of last week despite being a blockout date for Southern California and Select Annual Passholders. Alice in Wonderland, Big Thunder Mountain Railroad and Peter Pan’s Flight were among the seven attractions that hit a crowd level ’10’ on their attraction level scales.

Disney California Adventure
4
8
What to Expect This Week
November 8 t0 14, 2015

Halloween season is over and Christmas season is arriving. Disneyland parks will be moderately busy for much of November, especially on weekends and during the new Season of the Force events.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – November 1 to 7, 2015

  • November 12, 2015 at 6:30 pm
    Permalink

    Wow, I’ll be there next week, and I see you have updated the crowd calendars from 3,5 and 7 to 8s,9s and 10s. Better reset my expectations and pack my patience! In the next update can you include information about dates that you have recalculated based on the overall higher crowds? How often you recalculate and update the calendars? I often plan my trips based on low days, so understanding what goes into changing a crowd level prediction would be really helpful. Also posting on the blog when there is a significant update would be nice for those of us actively planning!

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