Updates to Last Week’s Crowd Calendar Actuals

We had a minor problem posting our actual crowd levels for June 25-28, 2016, so we’re posting them here temporarily.  The developers fixed the sites for dates beyond June 28.

Here are the crowd levels for June 25-28.

WDW Magic Kingdom Epcot Hollywood Studios Animal Kingdom
Pred. Obs. Pred. Obs. Pred. Obs. Pred. Obs. Pred. Obs.
6/25/2016 6 6 6 6 4 6 7 4 7 10
6/26/2016 7 6 6 7 5 4 8 6 7 3
6/27/2016 7 10 7 10 6 6 8 7 8 9
6/28/2016 8 9 8 10 8 8 7 9 8 7

Crowd levels are base on specific attractions. The tables below have those attractions with their predicted and observed average wait times between 10am and 5pm. We standards the wait times to a crowd level between 1 and 10. The attraction crowd levels are rolled up to compute the WDW and parks’ crowd levels.

6/25/2016 Attraction

Magic Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Big Thunder Mountain 38 28 7 3
Buzz Lightyear 30 34 6 7
Jungle Cruise 39 34 9 7
Peter Pan’s Flight 63 56 7 6
Pirates of the Caribbean 33 18 9 5
Space Mountain 47 68 5 9
Splash Mountain 60 49 9 7
The Haunted Mansion 38 27 9 6
Winnie the Pooh 38 28 10 4
Epcot AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Living with the Land 11 12 1 1
Mission: SPACE Orange 31 32 8 8
Soarin’ 133 72 10 8
Spaceship Earth 16 21 5 6
Test Track 67 50 7 5
Hollywood Studios AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster 68 50 9 7
Star Tours 29 26 8 7
Great Movie Ride 37 20 10 5
Tower of Terror 64 24 7 1
Toy Story 79 36 7 1
Animal Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
DINOSAUR 39 28 10 8
Expedition Everest 34 35 6 6
Kali River Rapids 59 41 9 7
Kilimanjaro Safaris 30 16 3 1
Primeval Whirl 20 13 4 1

 

6/26/2016 Attractions

Magic Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Big Thunder Mountain 39 27 7 3
Buzz Lightyear 31 37 6 8
Jungle Cruise 34 39 7 9
Peter Pan’s Flight 65 62 7 7
Pirates of the Caribbean 33 28 9 8
Space Mountain 61 74 8 9
Splash Mountain 54 46 8 7
The Haunted Mansion 33 30 8 7
Winnie the Pooh 37 30 9 5
Epcot AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Living with the Land 11 12 1 2
Mission: SPACE Orange 24 17 5 2
Soarin’ 133 67 10 7
Spaceship Earth 20 18 6 5
Test Track 64 55 7 5
Hollywood Studios AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster 57 60 8 8
Star Tours 26 29 6 7
Great Movie Ride 43 34 10 10
Tower of Terror 45 36 4 2
Toy Story 75 50 6 1
Animal Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
DINOSAUR 52 18 10 2
Expedition Everest 34 29 6 4
Kali River Rapids 61 43 10 8
Kilimanjaro Safaris 32 12 4 1
Primeval Whirl 15 16 2 3

6/27/2016 Attractions

Magic Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Big Thunder Mountain 43 47 8 9
Buzz Lightyear 39 52 8 10
Jungle Cruise 43 52 10 10
Peter Pan’s Flight 72 73 9 9
Pirates of the Caribbean 38 38 10 10
Space Mountain 73 98 9 10
Splash Mountain 59 86 9 10
The Haunted Mansion 40 39 10 9
Winnie the Pooh 41 37 10 9
Epcot AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Living with the Land 11 11 1 1
Mission: SPACE Orange 23 21 5 4
Soarin’ 135 157 10 10
Spaceship Earth 21 25 6 8
Test Track 68 59 7 6
Hollywood Studios AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster 68 59 9 8
Star Tours 25 38 6 9
Great Movie Ride 44 40 10 10
Tower of Terror 50 45 5 4
Toy Story 73 56 6 1
Animal Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
DINOSAUR 46 43 10 10
Expedition Everest 32 39 5 7
Kali River Rapids 60 73 9 10
Kilimanjaro Safaris 43 30 7 3
Primeval Whirl 17 35 3 9

6/28/2016 Attractions

Magic Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Big Thunder Mountain 44 41 8 8
Buzz Lightyear 41 46 8 10
Jungle Cruise 44 50 10 10
Peter Pan’s Flight 71 79 9 10
Pirates of the Caribbean 34 38 9 10
Space Mountain 69 126 9 10
Splash Mountain 58 75 8 10
The Haunted Mansion 37 42 9 10
Winnie the Pooh 40 35 10 9
Epcot AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Living with the Land 11 20 1 7
Mission: SPACE Orange 22 34 5 8
Soarin’ 148 69 10 7
Spaceship Earth 24 30 8 9
Test Track 76 71 8 8
ATTRACTION AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster 69 79 9 10
Star Tours 26 36 7 9
Great Movie Ride 40 35 10 10
Tower of Terror 52 62 5 7
Toy Story 80 59 7 2
Animal Kingdom AVG. WAIT TIME CROWD LEVEL
PREDICTED OBSERVED PREDICTED OBSERVED
DINOSAUR 50 33 10 10
Expedition Everest 39 32 7 5
Kali River Rapids 60 61 9 10
Kilimanjaro Safaris 55 28 9 3
Primeval Whirl 23 23 5 5

 

The data for June 29, is on the site and is accurate. The site is fixed, moving forward. We don’t know when the statistics in this post will be visable on the site.

Steve Bloom

By helping TouringPlans.com continue to reach the most accurate crowd level predictions, Steve finally found a way to meld his training in statistical analysis with a lifelong passion for Disney. He first visited the Magic Kingdom in 1972, just a few months after it opened. Now he enjoys frequent trips with his two kids. At age four his son insisted on wearing cowboy boots to reach the height requirement for Test Track, and his daughter believes that a smoked turkey leg and Dole Whip make a perfectly balanced meal. Even though she doesn't quite get it, Steve's wife is supportive of his Disney activities.

5 thoughts on “Updates to Last Week’s Crowd Calendar Actuals

  • July 1, 2016 at 10:25 am
    Permalink

    Do you plan on doing an analysis of expected versus actual for the week of May 29- June 4?

  • July 1, 2016 at 11:04 am
    Permalink

    Where does one usually find Crowd Calendar Actuals? I’ve been looking to see the results for the week I was there (June 5-11) and haven’t found the information. I’ve tried looking through menus/pages and using the search function. In the past, many weeks were posted as a graphic on twitter, but that hasn’t happened recently.

  • July 1, 2016 at 1:30 pm
    Permalink

    Donk_7 I’ve been hoping for the same thing. Haven’t seen any Crowd Calendar Reports since the week of 5/15-5/21. I really miss seeing them.

Comments are closed.